Archive

Facing a Wave, Republicans Could Still Win at Least One Dem Seat

September 1, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Democrats need to net fifteen seats on November 7 in order to win a majority in the House. And that’s not an unreasonable goal, give that in the most recent edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, we predicted Democrats to gain between 15 and 20 seats.

But everyone (party strategists,…

Candidates from Both Parties Shun Partisan Label

August 28, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Newsflash! President Bush is unpopular. No wonder Democrats across the country are dutifully attempting to tie every Republican candidate to their unpopular leader.

But most Republicans are under no illusions about the President’s standing or mood of the electorate. They know voters are hostile.…

New Print Edition: House Outlook for 2006

August 25, 2006 · 3:33 PM EDT
The new August 25, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

House Outlook For 2006

By Stuart Rothenberg

Our latest race-by-race review of Congressional districts around the country convinces us that a…

New Print Edition: House Outlook for 2006

August 25, 2006 · 3:33 PM EDT

The new August 25, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

House Outlook For 2006

By Stuart Rothenberg

Our latest race-by-race review of Congressional districts around the country convinces us that a Democratic…

Pennsylvania Senate & Virginia Senate: New Numbers, Same Races

by Stuart Rothenberg August 24, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Well, there are new numbers out in both the Pennsylvania and Virginia Senate races, and to hear some of the spin, those races are starting to turn on their heads.

Here’s my advice: Don’t get carried away. The changes in both races are, so far, superficial. The fundamentals basically remain…

Connecticut Senate: Can Joe Lieberman Really Win?

August 21, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

When Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman announced on primary night that he was going to run for reelection as an Independent, I was a little surprised. The closeness of the contest obviously encouraged supporters of the senator to think that he could win a three-way race, and the senator himself…

Nevada Governor: Primary Results Good for GOP

August 18, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

As expected, Rep. Jim Gibbons won the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 48% over state Sen. Bob Beers and Lt. Gov. Lorraine Hunt. State Senate Minority Leader Dina Titus won the Democratic primary convincingly, 53%-36%, over Henderson Mayor Jim Gibson. But her win makes a Democratic takeover…

Looking for a Big Message From Tuesday? There Ain’t One

by Stuart Rothenberg August 17, 2006 · 12:01 AM EDT

Once again we are all scrambling to find an explanation — a dramatic trend or some big conclusion that can make us all feel insightful — from Tuesday’s primary results. Well, there isn’t much of one, despite what you may have read or heard.

As everyone who has taken a course on methodology…

2006 Governors Ratings

August 15, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT
2006 Rothenberg Political Report
Governors Ratings
 

Races are listed by likelihood of a party switch. For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here. Republicans…

New Print Edition: 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook

August 11, 2006 · 2:29 PM EDT
The new August 11, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

2006 Gubernatorial Outlook

While House and Senate Democrats garner the bulk of the national media attention, many of the best Democratic opportunities this…