Why Republicans Don’t Fear a Shutdown, But Should

Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

For many Republicans, it’s a fairly simple calculation: There was a supposedly catastrophic government shutdown in 2013 and the GOP gained 13 House seats a year later. So what’s the big deal if the government shuts down again?

With another funding deadline on the horizon, selective memory loss could have negative consequences for the Republican Party if there is another government shutdown.

Any recollection about the Oct. 1-16, 2013 shutdown as a political positive for the GOP is misguided, at best.

According to a Washington Post/ABC News survey taken in the aftermath, 81 percent of adults disapproved of the shutdown while just 17 percent approved. In addition, 53 percent blamed Republicans, compared to 29 percent who blamed President Barack Obama and 15 percent who blamed both sides equally. And that was at a time of divided partisan government.

But arguably the biggest reason why Republicans didn’t suffer at the ballot box was because of a gift from the Obama White House. The rollout of HealthCare.gov was an unmitigated disaster and turned the national conversation away from Republicans on the Hill and toward Obama, a polarizing piece of legislation, and a realized perception of government ineptitude.

Republicans gained seats in 2014 as a continued backlash against the…

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Changing Color?

Stuart Rothenberg April 25, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania realigning with the GOP, or were Donald Trump’s victories in both states – and the accompanying Republican Senate wins last year – merely aberrations?

The answer will likely impact the fate of the country’s two major parties over the next decade.


2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview: Victory Now, Redistricting Power Later

Nathan L. Gonzales April 21, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Gubernatorial races might feel irrelevant in and distant from Washington, which is dominated by the presidency and Congress, but the next batch of races will have a profound impact on which party controls the House next decade. 

Voters in 38 states (including nine of the 10 largest) will elect a…

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (April 21, 2017) Alabama - Illinois

April 21, 2017 · 2:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Kay Ivey (R), assumed governorship April 2017. Ivey recently became governor after GOP Gov. Robert Bentley resigned under an ethical cloud involving an extramarital affair and improper use of state resources. Ivey becomes the first female governor of Alabama since Lurleen Wallace, wife…

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (April 21, 2017) Iowa - New Mexico

April 21, 2017 · 2:58 PM EDT

IOWA -- Terry Branstad (R), elected 2010 (53%), 2014 (59%); previously elected 1982 (53%), 1986 (52%), 1990 (61%) and 1994 (57%). Branstad is President Trump’s choice to be the U.S. ambassador to China, which would elevate Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds to governor of the Hawkeye State upon Branstad’s…