Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back, flipping two districts, replacing their own controversial 4th District representative, beating back a well-funded Democratic Senate candidate, and handing President Donald Trump a resounding victory for the second cycle in a row.

The only Iowa Democrat who survived 2020 was Cindy Axne, a first-term congresswoman from Des Moines who represents the state’s 3rd District and won re-election by the skin of her teeth.

Now, Republicans are champing at the bit to finish what they started in 2020. That would give the GOP complete control of the state’s House delegation for the first time since 1994, and — if venerable Sen. Chuck Grassley returns for an 8th term — it would be the first time since the 1940s that Iowa sends no Democrats to Washington at all.

Axne and her allies have other plans, and are already deploying significant financial resources to make sure she can buck a poor political environment and return to DC next year.

The Lay of the Land
The 3rd District sits in the southwest corner of the state, where it is anchored by Polk County, home of Des Moines, the state’s capital and largest city. By population, 62 percent of the district lives in Polk County, and in the 2020…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2022)

June 17, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Rating change: Texas’ 34th District moves onto fall battlefield

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2022 · 4:19 PM EDT

New Hampshire Redistricting: Finally

by Jacob Rubashkin June 7, 2022 · 4:16 PM EDT

Pennsylvania 7: Same Faces, Different Races

by Jacob Rubashkin June 3, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

Missouri Redistricting: Elusive Competitiveness

by Bradley Wascher June 3, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Kansas Redistricting: Why Not Split Wyandotte?

by Bradley Wascher May 27, 2022 · 1:24 PM EDT

New York Redistricting Redux: Competitive Empire State

by Jacob Rubashkin May 25, 2022 · 12:36 PM EDT

Louisiana Redistricting: Not Much New from Baton Rouge

by Bradley Wascher May 24, 2022 · 3:30 PM EDT

Reports by State

United States Map Select a State