In a recent edition of my newsletter, I dissected, analyzed and evaluated dozens of districts in the fight for the House of Representatives and concluded what many of us have been assuming for weeks — Democrats are poised to gain 15 to 20 seats, giving them control of the House.
The 15- to…
It’s an old strategy: If you don’t like the news, shoot the messenger.
In this case, the strategy has been employed by National Republican Congressional Committee Communications Director Carl Forti, who chose to try to discredit me (and Charlie Cook) in a September 5 press release. Why? Because…
Democrats need to net fifteen seats on November 7 in order to win a majority in the House. And that’s not an unreasonable goal, give that in the most recent edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, we predicted Democrats to gain between 15 and 20 seats.
But everyone (party strategists,…
Newsflash! President Bush is unpopular. No wonder Democrats across the country are dutifully attempting to tie every Republican candidate to their unpopular leader.
But most Republicans are under no illusions about the President’s standing or mood of the electorate. They know voters are hostile.…
House Outlook For 2006
By Stuart Rothenberg
Our latest race-by-race review of Congressional districts around the country convinces us that a…
The new August 25, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)
House Outlook For 2006
By Stuart Rothenberg
Our latest race-by-race review of Congressional districts around the country convinces us that a Democratic…
Well, there are new numbers out in both the Pennsylvania and Virginia Senate races, and to hear some of the spin, those races are starting to turn on their heads.
Here’s my advice: Don’t get carried away. The changes in both races are, so far, superficial. The fundamentals basically remain…
When Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman announced on primary night that he was going to run for reelection as an Independent, I was a little surprised. The closeness of the contest obviously encouraged supporters of the senator to think that he could win a three-way race, and the senator himself…
As expected, Rep. Jim Gibbons won the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 48% over state Sen. Bob Beers and Lt. Gov. Lorraine Hunt. State Senate Minority Leader Dina Titus won the Democratic primary convincingly, 53%-36%, over Henderson Mayor Jim Gibson. But her win makes a Democratic takeover…
Once again we are all scrambling to find an explanation — a dramatic trend or some big conclusion that can make us all feel insightful — from Tuesday’s primary results. Well, there isn’t much of one, despite what you may have read or heard.
As everyone who has taken a course on methodology…
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