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GOP Moderates and Conservatives Ready to Do Battle

by Stuart Rothenberg November 15, 2006 · 11:09 PM EST

In the past, it’s been the AFL-CIO against the Democratic Leadership Council. But not this year. This time, the conservative and moderate wings of the Republican Party have the pleasure of blaming and pointing fingers at each other for the party’s loss.

The blame game remains a staple in…

As Predicted, a Wave Washes Republicans Out to Sea

by Stuart Rothenberg November 12, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

Well, don’t say we didn’t warn you.

Tuesday’s balloting was about what we expected. A relatively large political wave swept almost 30 House Republicans out of office and appears to have delivered the Senate to Democrats. Of course, we won’t know the status of control of the Senate for a while,…

Turn Back the Clock: Rothenberg Report on CNN Nov. 2

November 12, 2006 · 12:16 AM EST

You know you’ve arrived when you’re on both the Situation Room and YouTube. It’s all downhill from here. Anyway, here’s a clip of our election predictions from November 2.

Down to the Wire: Expect a Big Night for Democrats

November 7, 2006 · 12:16 PM EST

This column is available free at RollCall.com for a limited time.

With only a few hours remaining until the votes start being counted, there is little uncertainty about the fight for the House, except for questions about exactly which Republican incumbents will be lucky enough to survive.

Polls…

2006 House Ratings

November 6, 2006 · 3:08 PM EST
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 30-36 seats.

PURE TOSS-UP (19 R, 0 D)
  • CA 11 (Pombo, R)
  • CT 2 (Simmons, R)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
  • FL 22 (Shaw, R)
  • IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
  • KS 2 (Ryun, R)
  • MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
  • MN 6 (Open; Kennedy, R)
  • NM 1 (Wilson, R)
  • NY 26 (Reynolds, R)
  • OH 1…

2006 House Ratings

November 6, 2006 · 3:08 PM EST

Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 30-36 seats.

PURE TOSS-UP (19 R, 0 D)
  • CA 11 (Pombo, R)
  • CT 2 (Simmons, R)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
  • FL 22 (Shaw, R)
  • IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
  • KS 2 (Ryun, R)
  • MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
  • MN 6 (Open;…

2006 Senate Ratings

November 6, 2006 · 2:00 PM EST

Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 4-7 seats and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control



LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)
  • DeWine (R-OH)
  • Santorum (R-PA)
LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
  • Allen (R-VA)
  • Burns, (R-MT)

2006 Senate Ratings

November 6, 2006 · 2:00 PM EST

Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 4-7 seats and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control

LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)
  • DeWine (R-OH)
  • Santorum (R-PA)
LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
  • Allen (R-VA)
  • Burns, (R-MT)

2006 Election Night Viewer Guide

November 6, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

Even for the diehard political junkie, following ninety races for the House, Senate, and governor on Election Night would be quite a feat. So, here is a simple game plan for tackling November 7, to give you a good idea as to what’s happening nationwide.

7pm (EST) – The House

Kentucky 4 – Rep.…

Just Hours Until Democratic Gains

by Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2006 · 11:10 PM EST

With less than a week to go before Election Day, we now know the GOP’s October surprise: Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.). And you wondered why White House political guru Karl Rove sounded so upbeat and certain that Republicans would hold both chambers of Congress?

Kerry, who already destroyed one…