President News & Analysis

Comparing Trump’s Job Ratings to Obama’s

Stuart Rothenberg October 26, 2017 · 2:04 PM EDT

Nine months into their respective terms, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is substantially worse than Barack Obama’s was among both partisan groups and Independents, according to Gallup polls.

Trump’s average job approval numbers for the week of October 9 stood at 79 percent among Republicans, 8 percent among…

Why ‘Single-Payer’ May Not Be Republicans’ Saving Grace in 2018

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 21, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Since Republicans’ repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act isn’t going quite as planned, party strategists have a plan to make their unpopular alternative look more appealing in comparison. 

Republicans are focused on getting Democratic congressional candidates on-the-record about their support for a “single-payer” healthcare system. But the term…

A Bipartisan Health Care Bill Will Be Tougher to Pass than a Partisan One

Stuart Rothenberg July 19, 2017 · 7:18 PM EDT

The calls from Democrats and many in the media for a bipartisan health care bill are understandable. But a bipartisan plan is a very heavy lift for Congress – probably even heavier than a partisan one.

Almost everyone likes the sound of a “bipartisan approach.” It comes with connotations of…

How Divided Parties Survive and Thrive

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Nathan L. Gonzales June 23, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats were divided before the special election in Georgia, and Jon Ossoff’s loss certainly didn’t help heal any internal wounds. The party went “all in” to win the suburban Atlanta seat and came up short in the type of district the party needs to win to get to a majority…

The GOP’s Political Gamble on the Environment

Stuart Rothenberg June 4, 2017 · 8:00 AM EDT

While activists on both sides of the aisle and both ends of the ideological spectrum argue about whether President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris accord is a good idea, the political risks of that decision are undeniable.

The president’s announcement is likely to elevate the salience of “the environment”…

Lessons for Trump Detractors, Members of Congress From a Loyalty Expert

Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2017 · 11:40 AM EDT

You’ve probably never heard of James Kane, but elected officials, party strategists, and even some reporters could learn from his perspective as a behavioral scientist (instead of a partisan hack) about how to fracture President Donald Trump’s base and the future of the two parties. 

I rarely have time…

Don’t Trust Politicians Who Say They Aren’t Running for President

Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2017 · 8:30 AM EDT

Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand told a group of local reporters in New York that she is not running for president in 2020. But, of course, that means you shouldn’t take her off any list of potential presidential candidates.

The Empire State’s junior senator is among the dozen or so…

Why Republicans Don’t Fear a Shutdown, But Should

Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

For many Republicans, it’s a fairly simple calculation: There was a supposedly catastrophic government shutdown in 2013 and the GOP gained 13 House seats a year later. So what’s the big deal if the government shuts down again?

With another funding deadline on the horizon, selective memory loss could have…

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Changing Color?

Stuart Rothenberg April 25, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania realigning with the GOP, or were Donald Trump’s victories in both states – and the accompanying Republican Senate wins last year – merely aberrations?

The answer will likely impact the fate of the country’s two major parties over the next decade.

Partisan realignments follow from significant…

Reason for Democratic Optimism, But Health Care Won’t be Enough

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Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:55 PM EDT

From the women’s marches to town hall protests, Democrats were feeling emboldened about the next elections even before Republicans fumbled their attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Democratic optimism grew (as well as media comparisons to a certain previous midterm election involving health care) as polling revealed that the…