President News & Analysis

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

by Bradley Wascher May 23, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Pennsylvania was long a part of Democrats’ “blue wall” strategy in the Electoral College, but Donald Trump’s narrow win in 2016 forced both parties to revamp their playbooks.

Trump flipped Pennsylvania in 2016 by appealing to the state’s many white working-class voters, as Hillary Clinton failed to make sufficient gains…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada

by Bradley Wascher May 9, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

Democrats have carried Nevada in each of the last four presidential elections, yet it continues to be a top battleground thanks to its unique political geography. President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy has weighed him down in early polls of the state, but Democrats can point to a number…

Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 8, 2024 · 11:46 AM EDT

Despite a persistently tight race in the national polls, President Joe Biden is in a precarious position for reelection and may even be a slight underdog with less than six months to go. 

Former President Donald Trump has led Biden by about 1 point or less for the last six…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

by Bradley Wascher April 26, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Georgia emerged as a top presidential battleground in 2020 and subsequently became ground zero for former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the election. Unsurprisingly the state, currently rated as a Toss-up, is shaping up to be competitive again this November.

President Joe Biden carried the Peach State by one-third…

Presidential: Biden and Trump Locked in Close Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 14, 2024 · 9:00 AM EDT

While the presidential race is careening toward a rematch, 2024 won’t necessarily be a replay of 2020. 

The race looks familiar with President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump topping the ballot, but both men are bringing more baggage to the contest, creating a level of volatility that doesn’t…

Podcast Episode 16: New York 3 Special, Maryland Senate with Scott Eidler of Newsday

February 15, 2024 · 12:35 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Scott Eidler of Newsday discuss Democrat Tom Suozzi's special election victory in New York's 3rd District in the race to replace George Santos. Nathan and Jacob also analyze former Gov. Larry Hogan's entry into the Maryland Senate race and the recent retirements in the House…

Podcast Episode 15: California Senate and House Primaries with Melanie Mason of Politico

February 1, 2024 · 6:11 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico discuss the upcoming California primaries including the race to replace Dianne Feinstein in the Senate and more than a dozen consequential and interesting House primaries. And Nathan contemplates buying a track suit fashioned after a G.I. Joe character.


Podcast Episode 14: Iowa Caucus Results, Delegate Counting w/ Leah Askarinam

January 18, 2024 · 11:34 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of 538 and the Associated Press discuss the Iowa caucus results and the intricacies of counting delegates in the presidential nominating process.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential…

A Good Night for Trump and Polling, and Other Post-Iowa Thoughts

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 16, 2024 · 7:53 AM EST

Thanks to Iowa Republicans, the first 2024 election is in the books, and we have the first opportunity of the year to chew over some results. 

The bottom line is that Donald Trump did what he needed to do. The former president came into Monday as the clear frontrunner for…

Podcast Episode 13: New York 3 Special, Iowa Caucus w/ Marianne LeVine

January 5, 2024 · 9:17 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post discuss the special election to replace George Santos in New York’s 3rd District and the upcoming Republican caucuses in Iowa, with a side of movie reviews. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts…