President News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 32: North Carolina Poll, VP Debate, Election Models w/ Nathaniel Rakich of 538

October 3, 2024 · 3:13 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.

Listen to the…

7 Initial Thoughts After the Vice Presidential Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 2, 2024 · 5:23 PM EDT

I used to be a debate skeptic. I was skeptical that debates changed the trajectory of elections. But after President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump squared off in one of the most consequential debates in history on June 27 and considering the race between Trump and Vice President…

Podcast Episode 31: Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut’s 5th w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

September 19, 2024 · 1:18 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…

Trump, Harris Face Off in Philadelphia with the White House on the Line

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2024 · 12:25 PM EDT

The first, and potentially only, debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is in the books. While it will be at least a few days or more to know how the Philadelphia faceoff played with voters, there are at least a handful of key points and…

Podcast Episode 30: Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press with Chuck Todd

September 4, 2024 · 12:10 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Presidential Update: RFK Jr. Exits the Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 29, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Vice President Kamala Harris has the momentum, and even a narrow advantage in a close race  against former President Donald Trump. 

Trump extended his narrow advantage throughout the spring to a more significant edge after the June 27 debate as President Joe Biden went into an electoral tailspin. Trump led…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona

by Bradley Wascher August 29, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ever since Arizona cast its first electoral college votes in 1912, a Republican has never won the presidency without it. In 2020, former President Donald Trump narrowly lost the state to Joe Biden, making him the first Republican to fall short since Bob Dole.

Large communities of young Hispanics in…

Republican and Democratic Conventions Were the Same, But Different

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 29, 2024 · 2:25 PM EDT

CHICAGO- While packed arenas and elated crowds were standard across the Republican and Democratic National Conventions, there were some stark differences in messaging, merchandise, and even the trash. 

Energy. Of course conventions are full of the party faithful, but rarely is each party euphoric in the same…

Podcast Episode 29: Democratic National Convention from Chicago

August 22, 2024 · 4:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin discuss and analyze the first three days of the Democratic National Convention on location in Chicago, including the biggest themes, speeches and highlights, and the impact Vice President Kamala Harris is having on the presidential races and the fight for the House and Senate. 

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Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 7, 2024 · 12:54 PM EDT

I don’t remember much from our candidate interview with Tim Walz, but I’m going to guess I wasn’t impressed. In my defense, it was nearly 19 years ago, when Walz ran in southern Minnesota’s 1st District. 

Even though I’d look much smarter now if I said back then that he…