(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls Saga, Cynthia Nixon, and Minnesota’s 8th

April 17, 2018 · 3:00 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Arkansas’ 2nd District: Congratulations to Democrat Clarke Tucker’s campaign for using the term “robocalls” in a press release even though the local media referred to them as a “push poll,” which it most likely wasn’t since push polls don’t exist.


Can a President Preaching Change Lead a Party of Incumbents?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 13, 2018 · 10:24 AM EDT

I have long argued that on the most fundamental level, all elections are choices between continuity and change.

The “in” party needs voters to believe that things are going well — or at least improving — while the “out” party needs to sell its message of change.

On rare occasions, when things are…

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Arizona 8 Special, Ryan’s Exit, and NFL Fashion

April 12, 2018 · 3:00 PM EDT

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): Welcome to the big leagues, Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, who we’re learning hasn’t treated patients since 2011 and settled a malpractice lawsuit.

Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Nathan told The Arizona Republic that…

Rating Update: GOP Open Seat in Florida Remains Solid R for Now

April 11, 2018 · 3:11 PM EDT

You could be forgiven for overlooking the retirement of Rep. Dennis Ross today, given that the Florida Republican decided to announce his decision the same morning Speaker Paul Ryan announced his decision to not seek re-election.

Ross said he’d be returning to practicing law instead of seeking a…

Ratings Change: Ryan Exit Moves Wisconsin 1 from Solid R to Lean R

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2018 · 10:31 AM EDT

House Speaker Paul Ryan’s decision not to seek re-election shakes up the GOP leadership ladder in Washington and impacts his party’s ability to hold his seat back home in Wisconsin.

While Ryan’s decision is huge news because of his position, it’s not as electorally alarming to his party compared…

2018 House Ratings (April 11, 2018)

April 11, 2018 · 10:30 AM EDT

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

April 9, 2018 · 11:15 AM EDT

Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s plans have been talked about for so long that it would have been shocking if he hadn’t announced his challenge to Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson today. Now that the Republican governor is officially in, the Sunshine State is poised to host an expensive race with national…

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 9, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Florida Senate (a): GOP Gov. Rick Scott may not win the race this year, but it will be an expensive slog for Democrats and Sen. Bill Nelson, despite the confidence American Bridge projected in a memo Wednesday

Florida Senate (b): Democrats attacking Scott for being a weak vote-getter in…