September 18, 2020 · 10:11 AM EDT
The race for the Oval Office remains steady — although a case could be made that there’s been slight tightening in favor of the president.
In an average of 24 polls conducted over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 6.9 points (49.1 percent to 42.2 percent).
To be sure, this is one…
September 10, 2020 · 11:01 AM EDT
Party operatives playing fast and loose with the facts is commonplace in campaign ads, but a recent TV spot in the Kansas Senate race is stretching the norms.
A recent ad from Rep. Roger Marshall, the GOP nominee, is intended to paint Marshall’s opponent, state Sen. Barbara Bollier, as a typical…
September 4, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Waiting is hard. It’s not something we do well as Americans. But waiting is prudent at this juncture of handicapping the elections and even more essential on November 3 and beyond.
When each day seems to feature five breaking news stories, it’s easy to…
September 4, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT
Arizona. Martha McSally (R), appointed Jan. 2019. The senator’s campaign released a state of the race memo which listed grievances with public polling without detailing her own surveys. That’s usually not a great sign. She also received some negative press for suggesting that her supporters skip a…
September 4, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT
2nd District (Southeastern Alabama) Open; Martha Roby, R, not seeking re-election. Trump 65%. Republican nominee Barry Moore landed in hot water after he shared a meme defending alleged Kenosha murderer Kyle Rittenhouse on Facebook. After facing backlash, Moore deleted the meme and wrote…
September 4, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT
The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters.
This trend manifested…