New York 19: Riley vs. Molinaro Rematch

by Jacob Rubashkin June 7, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

At the confluence of New York’s Hudson Valley, Southern Tier, and Capital Region, Democrats are hoping a rematch of one of 2022’s closest House races is not just a replay of last cycle’s outcome.

Armed with better fundraising and unburdened by the lack of a gubernatorial slugfest at the top of the…

House: Key Primary Results from Iowa, Montana, New Jersey and New Mexico

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2024 · 11:06 AM EDT

Earlier in the cycle, June 4 looked like a must-watch primary night with marquee Senate primaries in New Jersey and Montana. But most of the drama dissipated long before voters went to the polls on Tuesday, and the remaining notable races played out as expected. 

Voters in five states cast primary…

Presidential: Trump’s Conviction is not the Time for Snap Political Analysis

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 31, 2024 · 1:13 PM EDT

Now what? Now that Donald Trump is the first current or former president convicted of a felony, what does that mean for the 2024 presidential election? It’s a valid question — without an instant answer. And that’s not popular in a world that rewards, and sometimes requires, instant insightful…

Podcast Episode 24: Nevada Races with Gabby Birenbaum of The Nevada Independent

May 30, 2024 · 12:37 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Nevada Independent look ahead to key races in Nevada including upcoming primaries and a handful of consequential races that will help determine who sits in the White House and which party controls Congress. 

Listen to the podcast on…

North Carolina 1: Tar Heel Target

by Jacob Rubashkin May 23, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

North Carolina has been at the center of the House battlefield for much of the last decade, with the evenly divided state often hosting multiple competitive races.

Not so in 2024.

A Republican takeover of the state Supreme Court in 2022 cleared the way for the GOP-controlled state legislature to…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

by Bradley Wascher May 23, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Pennsylvania was long a part of Democrats’ “blue wall” strategy in the Electoral College, but Donald Trump’s narrow win in 2016 forced both parties to revamp their playbooks.

Trump flipped Pennsylvania in 2016 by appealing to the state’s many white working-class voters, as Hillary Clinton failed…

House: Key Primary Results from Georgia, Oregon, Idaho, and Kentucky

May 22, 2024 · 1:04 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Primary voters cast their ballots in four more states, clarifying a key general election race and nominating a likely new member of Congress in a key primary. 

Even with Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon now in the rearview mirror (except for a Georgia…

Podcast Episode 23: Oregon primaries with Dirk VanderHart of OPB

May 16, 2024 · 12:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Dirk VanderHart of Oregon Public Broadcasting (OPB) look ahead to key House primaries in Oregon and look back at consequential results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside…

Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Unveil Key Primary Results

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2024 · 12:30 PM EDT

Three small-ish states hosted more than a handful of consequential primaries. Results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia either clarified key general election contests or offered nominations to candidates who will likely be coming to Congress next year because they are running in solid states…

2024 Senate Overview: Republicans Poised to Make Gains

May 9, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With a favorable map and Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in the presidential race, Republicans have a great opportunity to win control of the Senate in 2024. Republicans have failed to capitalize on opportunities in the past, but the conditions this year are…