Archive

When Trump Attacks, the Base Turns Out — For Both Parties

by Stuart Rothenberg July 25, 2019 · 9:09 AM EDT

President Donald Trump’s attacks on the four Democratic congresswomen, known collectively as “the squad,” appear to be a strange way to try to win reelection.

There is no doubt that Trump needs to motivate his base to win a second term, and his tweets and comments about immigrants and “socialism”…

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2019 · 8:55 AM EDT

President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.

We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…

Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

When the so-called “Blue Wall” came tumbling down in 2016, it seemed like a new era of American politics had arrived. But the 2018 midterm results muddied the waters, leaving politicos with more questions than answers about how Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will perform in 2020.

All three…

2019 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Remain Competitive in Three Red States

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

While the 2020 races are still getting started, three states are electing a governor later this year. All three (Louisiana, Mississippi, and Kentucky) take place in Republican states, but Democrats have an opportunity to win at least a couple races, if not all three. But they could also get swept. …

Candidate Conversation - Ritchie Torres (D)

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Ritchie Torres (D)

New York’s 15th District — Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: June 25, 2019

Date of Birth: March 12, 1988; New York, N.Y.

Education: NYU (attended 2006-2007)

Elected Office: New York City Council (elected 2013, re-elected 2017)

Current Outlook: Democratic Rep. José…

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 18, 2019 · 2:06 PM EDT

I understand Democrats’ frustration with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, as well as their desire to send him into retirement in the 2020 elections. But once again Democrats have gotten ahead of themselves in their optimism that they can defeat the Kentucky Republican.

Six years ago,…

What We Can Learn from the 2004 Presidential Race

by Stuart Rothenberg July 12, 2019 · 1:59 PM EDT

Beware of reading too much into presidential polls. Take, for example, the 2004 race.

An August 2003 CNN/USA Today/Gallup national survey found Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman, the 2000 Democratic nominee for vice president, leading the party’s presidential field with 23 percent. He was trailed by…

Fallout from Amash’s Decision in Michigan and Beyond

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 10, 2019 · 11:45 AM EDT

Republicans didn’t shed a tear after Rep. Justin Amash jumped the GOP ship. But their exuberance for being rid of the Michigan congressman might be masking his impact on the party’s effort to recapture the House majority and regain control of his 3rd District.  

As more of a libertarian than a…