Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher June 26, 2020 · 9:51 AM EDT

June has been a rocky month for relations between President Donald Trump and the pollsters of America. Following his renewed admonishment of outlets who publish unfavorable toplines — along with his steadfast endorsement of dubious “unskewed” data — the president seems to realize he’s behind…

How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment

by Jacob Rubashkin June 25, 2020 · 11:52 AM EDT

In 2014, Republicans took over nine Democratic Senate seats — the largest gain in two decades — and with them control of the chamber for the first time since 2006.

Six years, two Senate elections, and one presidential upset later, the Republican Senate majority teeters on an edge, as the…

Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption

by Jacob Rubashkin June 19, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Jon Ossoff has been the punchline of an expensive joke for the last three years. But the one-time failed House candidate might get the last laugh in a Senate race that has been out of the spotlight until recently.

Much of the attention around Georgia has focused on whether it’s a presidential…

Elections Reach Key Moment

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 19, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

There’s still more than four months to go before November, but the 2020 elections are at a critical juncture. 

If the election were held today, President Donald Trump would be defeated, Democrats would win control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House. Republicans would get routed.…

Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)

June 19, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Colorado Senate, Cory Gardner, R, elected 48%. It’s been a rough couple of weeks for former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the likely Democratic nominee. He was forced to pay a $2,750 fine after the state’s Independent Ethics Commission found him guilty of accepting two illegal gifts on trips he took as…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher June 12, 2020 · 10:46 AM EDT

No matter how you look at the polls, or which polls you look at, Joe Biden is gaining nationally.

In fact, according to the present Presidential Snapshot in Time, the former vice president is benefiting from his most comfortable edge in months. Across 34 national surveys released from May…

Nationwide Protests Move Into Campaign Ads

by Jacob Rubashkin June 11, 2020 · 6:00 PM EDT

In April, the coronavirus pandemic was emerging as the hot issue playing out in campaign ads across the country. At the time, it felt like the once-in-a-lifetime national health crisis would dominate the news cycle for the foreseeable future. 

What was unforeseeable was another…

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin June 8, 2020 · 1:40 PM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that. 

But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their…

Florida 26: Can Local Politics Trump Partisanship?

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans are putting Tip O’Neill’s “All politics is local” to the ultimate test in Florida. GOP strategists generally believe that their path back to the House majority lies in districts carried or narrowly lost by President Donald Trump in 2016. Florida’s 26th is not one of those districts; it…