Senate News & Analysis

Jason Kander May Have Made a Big Mistake

Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2017 · 9:16 AM EST

Missouri Democrat Jason Kander came close to getting elected to the Senate after he burst onto the scene last year with a memorable campaign ad and a strong challenge to GOP incumbent Roy Blunt. Now Kander is widely viewed as a rising star in the Democratic Party, but his postelection…

The GOP’s Long-Term Structural Senate Advantage

Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2017 · 9:30 AM EST

These days, Republicans have a structural advantage in the fight for the House because of how district lines were drawn earlier in the decade. But the party’s current structural advantage in the Senate may be even more important, since it doesn’t depend on state legislators drawing favorable lines, and the…

The Senate Revolution in North Dakota Will Not Be Televised

Nathan L. Gonzales February 17, 2017 · 1:10 PM EST

Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer’s commitment to radio town halls should keep him connected to his constituents, but it could also help lay the groundwork to challenge a Democratic senator in a top-tier race.

The North Dakota congressman held the most town halls (164) among members of Congress in 2016, and…

Congressional Republicans Should Be Afraid of Steve Bannon

Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2017 · 2:47 PM EST

It’s no secret that Steve Bannon wants to oversee the demise of the mainstream media, but President Donald Trump’s senior adviser probably wouldn’t mind incapacitating the Republican Party in order to remake it into his own image as well. 

Bannon (and Trump, for that matter) referred to the media, as…

Special Election Update: Watch Georgia’s 6th District

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:27 PM EST

As the Senate confirms President Donald Trump’s cabinet members, the special elections to replace some of them are starting to take shape. 

Late Thursday night, Republicans in Kansas’ 4th District selected state Treasurer Ron Estes as the GOP nominee to replace Mike Pompeo, who was confirmed as Trump’s CIA director.…

Three Trump Campaign Aides Who Could Get Elected to Congress

Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2017 · 10:14 AM EST

During the campaign, there probably weren’t enough full-throated Donald Trump supporters on Capitol Hill to fill a minivan. But two Trump campaign aides could get elected in House special elections later this year, while another adviser may challenge a Republican senator in a primary next year.

Their candidacies will test…

Ohio Senate: Bull’s-eye on the Buckeye State

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2017 · 4:20 PM EST

No, you don’t have vertigo from the 2016 elections. Some candidates have already announced their campaigns for the 2018 midterm elections, including Ohio Republican Josh Mandel. And no, you’re not experiencing déjà vu, Mandel faced Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in 2012, and is on track to do so again next…

Women’s March: A Moment or a Movement?

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2017 · 4:18 PM EST

Less than 24 hours after Donald Trump took the oath of office, hundreds of thousands of women descended onto the streets of Washington, D.C. in protest of the new president. 

There were immediate comparisons to the Tea Party movement that began in 2009 with rallies against new President Barack Obama,…

How President Trump Can Avoid President Obama’s Biggest Mistake

Nathan L. Gonzales January 25, 2017 · 11:23 AM EST

Donald Trump’s critics believe the new president is clueless (or worse), but he might be on track to avoid repeating former President Barack Obama’s biggest political mistake. 

Trump’s pre-inaugural press conference was widely panned, but his comments on the future of health care legislation were instructive.

“The easiest thing would…

Does the NRSC Have the Right Message for 2018?

Stuart Rothenberg January 24, 2017 · 10:40 AM EST

The National Republican Senatorial Committee’s assault on Democratic senators up for re-election in 2018 has already begun.

That committee has sent out more than half a dozen press releases since the beginning of the year attacking Democratic senators facing re-election from states carried by Donald Trump in November or generally…