House News & Analysis

Arizona 1: Republicans Hope The Third Time Is A Charm

by Leah Askarinam March 22, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

There are now 31 Democrats representing districts Donald Trump carried in 2016, and a Republican gain of 19 seats would ensure a new House majority. But Arizona’s 1st District is a good example of why that task will be more difficult than it looks on paper.

Republicans flipped a few…

Pennsylvania 12 Special: Not-So Special?

by Leah Askarinam March 22, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina’s House elections may be receiving more attention at the moment, but the next U.S. House special election is in Pennsylvania.

On May 21, the same day as the state’s municipal elections, voters will choose someone to serve in the seat of former Republican Rep. Tom Marino. 

At the…

New Mexico 2: Republicans Reminisce of 2010 Comeback

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In 2018, for the second time in his life, Republican Steve Pearce left the U.S. House to run for higher office. And for the second time, he lost his bid for higher office while a Democrat won his House open seat. In 2020, Republicans are actually hoping for another repeat:…

North Carolina 3rd & 9th: A Special Mess

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

North Carolina is set to host two elections this year: The 3rd District special will fill the seat of late Republican Rep. Walter Jones, while the 9th District will hold a new election because of allegations of fraud in the 2018 race.

The State Board of Elections and Gov. Roy…

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2019 · 1:17 PM EST

Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years.…

2020 House Overview: It’s Not Too Early

February 15, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.

At this…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

February 15, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. 1st District (Bradley Byrne, R, re-elected 63%). Trump 64%. The congressman is likely to challenge Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary is almost inevitable for his open seat. Solid R.

Alaska. At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 53%). Trump 53%. The congressman, who was first elected…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Kansas - New York

February 15, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. 1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman could run for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, creating an open congressional seat. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann could run. He finished third in the 2010 primary with 21 percent. Tim Huelskamp finished first, but Marshall defeated…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): North Carolina - Wisconsin

February 15, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. 2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. House Democrats didn’t make any inroads in North Carolina last cycle, but they didn’t have a star candidate to test their ceiling in Raleigh’s suburbs. The Democratic candidate, former state Rep. Linda Coleman, was perceived as the weaker candidate…

Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)

February 1, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

California’s 50th District. Alex Balkin became the second Democrat to announce a challenge to indicted GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter. 2018 nominee Ammar Campa-Najjar was the first. Balkin formerly worked at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Department of Defense. The district is considerably favorable to Republicans, considering Hunter was under…