House News & Analysis

Texas 23rd District: Hurd on the Hill

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:21 PM EST

Ahead of the 2018 election, there were three Texas districts that Hillary Clinton carried that also had GOP representation in the U.S. House. Now, there’s just one. 

GOP Rep. Will Hurd was one of the Republicans who was prepared for a tough race in 2018. In 2016, Hurd held onto…

Texas 24th District: North Dallas Twenty-Four

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:20 PM EST

Republican Kenny Marchant isn’t exactly a household name, but his closer-than-expected re-election race in 2018 will get him named on a few Democratic takeover target lists this cycle. 

The 24th District, north of Dallas, includes part of Tarrant County, though the portion of Dallas County that falls in the district…

Texas 31st District: Doors Opening for Democrats

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:19 PM EST

In 2018, M.J. Hegar proved that having a compelling bio, introductory video, and tremendous fundraising isn’t enough to win every district. But Democrats are hoping she takes another shot at unseating GOP Rep. John Carter.

The 31st District sits between Austin and Fort Hood, and includes Bell and Williamson counties.…

Texas 32nd District: Dueling for Dallas

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:18 PM EST

As chairman of the NRCC, Texas Rep. Pete Sessions led Republicans to the majority in 2010 and eight years later he was defeated for re-election. More than a year before Election Day Sessions tweeted, “To my friends who think I’m hanging it up, as we say in #TX, Come and…

Pennsylvania 12 special election: Is Marino’s seat at risk?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 17, 2019 · 9:08 PM EST

North Carolina’s 9th District was the clear front-runner to host the first congressional election of 2019 until Republican Tom Marino announced his resignation from Pennsylvania’s 12th District. The seat has a significant GOP lean to it, but Republicans seem to find new ways to make special elections closer and more…

5 reasons why there’s still no end to the shutdown

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 14, 2019 · 12:06 PM EST

Three weeks into the government shutdown, I’m not sure how this standoff ends, but I do know there are multiple reasons for how we got here.

What’s the problem? Democrats and Republicans can’t find a solution because they’re trying to solve two different problems. If you listen carefully, Democrats are…

Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 21, 2018 · 8:30 AM EST

I love elections, particularly congressional races, but I’m just not in a hurry to jump to 2020. And I’m completely fine with holding off on releasing our race ratings until next year.

If I didn’t like elections, I would probably need to take a long look at doing something else…

House Primaries on the Horizon for Democrats in 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2018 · 9:30 AM EST

We already know the Democratic presidential primary is going to be crowded and crazy as a few dozen candidates battle for the right to take on President Donald Trump.

But at least a handful of 2020 House primaries are also on the horizon for Democrats as the party fights over…

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

by Leah Askarinam December 14, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats gained at least 40 House seats in races across the country, but the wave’s course veered from two key states: Ohio and North Carolina.

Looking at top-of-the-ballot results, it’s no surprise that Democrats failed to chip into Ohio’s House delegation. Democratic performance statewide indicated a fundamental problem for the…

Expect Record Turnout in 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 13, 2018 · 2:53 PM EST

With the 2018 elections coming to an end, it’s clear that voters set a modern record for turnout in a midterm. And there’s no reason to believe voters won’t set another record two years from now.

According to the United States Election Project, turnout this year was nearly 50 percent…