Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (Dec. 1, 2023)

by Erin Covey December 1, 2023 · 2:26 PM EST

Alaska’s At-Large District. Republican Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom announced her campaign against Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola. Republicans are optimistic that Dahlstrom can pull together various wings of the state Republican Party, but the race is complicated by Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and 2022 GOP candidate Nick Begich’s campaign. Lean Democratic. 

Podcast Episode 10: Manchin’s Exit, House Exodus, and GOP Presidential Primary

November 17, 2023 · 10:26 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covery look at the fight for the Senate in the wake of Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin's decision not to see re-election in West Virginia, discuss the recent exodus from the House with multiple members not running again, talk about the latest in the GOP…

Podcast Episode 9: 2023 Elections, North Carolina Redistricting, GOP Presidential Primary

November 2, 2023 · 1:00 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin look ahead to the key 2023 races, talk about the impact of the new maps in North Carolina and Alabama after redistricting, and discuss the GOP presidential primary without Mike Pence in the race.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

2024 Senate Overview: Democrats Hoping for Rerun

October 27, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey & Jacob Rubashkin

When it comes to the fight for the Senate majority in 2024, Democrats are hoping they’ve seen this movie before. 

In 2022, Democrats expanded the majority against long odds. With strong incumbents, flawed Republican candidates and the Dobbs decision motivating pro-choice…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Arizona - Maine

October 27, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. The contours of this race are finally beginning to take shape, though Sinema has yet to announce her 2024 plans. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake announced her Senate campaign in August, and is…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

October 27, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. Primary April 23.  The Democratic primary — the most important contest in this deep-blue state — is down to two major contenders after Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando dropped his bid. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

by Jacob Rubashkin October 27, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February. Primary April 23. Former hedge fund CEO and Bush administration official David McCormick has launched his long-awaited Senate campaign and quickly locked up Republican support, picking up endorsements from the NRSC and the state GOP. 

Podcast Episode 8: Senate Fundraising, House Open Seats, Bill & Ted’s Excellent Races

October 19, 2023 · 12:30 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the big takeaways from the third quarter Senate fundraising numbers, the dearth of House open seats, including Michigan’s 7th District, and how Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure is connected to two House races.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Report Shorts (Oct. 13, 2023)

October 13, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alabama Redistricting. Federal judges have decided on a new congressional map after the Republican-controlled state legislature failed to draw a map that complied with the court’s order. Democrats are poised to flip the new 2nd District, which Joe Biden would have won by 12 points. Current 2nd District GOP Rep. Barry…

Podcast Episode 7: Speaker Fight and House Majority, California, New Jersey Senate

October 5, 2023 · 1:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss how the search for a new Speaker could affect the fight for the House, how the California Senate is shaping up after the appointment of Laphonza Butler, and what’s going to happen in the New Jersey Senate race after Sen. Bob Menendez…