Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)

June 5, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Hawaii’s 2nd District (Northern Oahu and all other islands) Open; Tulsi Gabbard, D, ran for president. The primary isn’t until August but pilot/state Sen. Kai Kahele is the likely Democratic nominee and likely new Member of Congress in this Democratic district…

Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)

June 5, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Kentucky Senate — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: May 28, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: October 20, 1984; Louisville, Ky. Education: Univ. of Louisville (2007, J.D. 2010)

Elected Office: State House (2019-present)

Current Outlook: Booker is one of three Democrats running against Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.…

Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)

June 5, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

Kentucky Senate — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: May 27, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: March 7, 1962; Racine, Wisconsin

Education: Rutgers (1984)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Broihier is one of three Democrats vying to take on Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.…

The Senate is in Play, You Know

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 8, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT
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Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 7, 2020 · 2:56 PM EDT

Anything can happen in November. At least that’s what we’re supposed to say. But is it really true?

Even in the middle of a global pandemic and after a historic impeachment process, the political environment hasn’t changed dramatically over the last year and a half. The coronavirus has crippled the…

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 13, 2020 · 8:13 AM EDT

Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.

I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play

April 3, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The spread of coronavirus has thrown even the most mundane tasks into uncertainty, yet the fight for the Senate remains the same. Control of the Senate was on the line before the health crisis and continues to be at stake in November.

Over…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama - Kansas

April 3, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). July 14 GOP Runoff (new, rescheduled date). Due to the coronavirus response, Republicans won’t have a nominee until mid-summer. Former Auburn head football coach Tommy Tuberville ($1.1 million in the bank on Feb. 12) finished first in the primary with 33 percent.…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky - New Mexico

April 3, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). May 19 primary. The same reasons Democrats nationally love to hate the majority leader, make him difficult to defeat for re-election. McConnell’s effort to help President Trump shape the courts for a…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

April 3, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). In the face of a multi-million dollar GOP effort to influence the Democratic primary, Iraq War veteran/former state Sen. Cal Cunningham won the nomination 57-35 percent over state Sen. Erica Smith. Republicans reveled in watching outside Democratic groups spend $11.7 million to…