Wisconsin has been decided by fewer than 25,000 votes in each of the past two presidential elections. Depending on how you calculate it, it was the tipping-point state that gave the 270th electoral vote to both former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020.
Once a…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.
I used to be a debate skeptic. I was skeptical that debates changed the trajectory of elections. But after President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump squared off in one of the most consequential debates in history on June 27 and considering the race between Trump and Vice President…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.
Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…
The first, and potentially only, debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is in the books. While it will be at least a few days or more to know how the Philadelphia faceoff played with voters, there are at least a handful of key points and…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections.
Vice President Kamala Harris has the momentum, and even a narrow advantage in a close race against former President Donald Trump.
Trump extended his narrow advantage throughout the spring to a more significant edge after the June 27 debate as President Joe Biden went into an electoral tailspin. Trump led…
Ever since Arizona cast its first electoral college votes in 1912, a Republican has never won the presidency without it. In 2020, former President Donald Trump narrowly lost the state to Joe Biden, making him the first Republican to fall short since Bob Dole.
Large communities of young Hispanics in…
CHICAGO- While packed arenas and elated crowds were standard across the Republican and Democratic National Conventions, there were some stark differences in messaging, merchandise, and even the trash.
Energy. Of course conventions are full of the party faithful, but rarely is each party euphoric in the same…
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