President News & Analysis

What Happened and What’s Next after the 2024 Elections?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake…

Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

It’s never wise to jump to conclusions based on any single poll. But it would be foolish to ignore results from a quality pollster. 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points…

Podcast Episode 35: Pre-Election Projections w/ Kirk Bado of National Journal

November 1, 2024 · 7:51 PM EDT

Nathan, Jacob and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline break down the fights for the Senate, House, and White House in the final pre-election episode of the 2024 elections.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential…

Podcast Episode 34: Race Ratings, Presidential Debates, Civility in America w/ Judy Woodruff

October 25, 2024 · 9:41 PM EDT

Nathan and Jacob reveal the latest batch of House and Senate race rating changes and talk with legendary political journalist Judy Woodruff of the PBS Newshour about the 2024 election, prepping for Election Night, moderating debates and the lack of civility in America. 

Listen to the podcast on…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin

by Bradley Wascher October 18, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Wisconsin has been decided by fewer than 25,000 votes in each of the past two presidential elections. Depending on how you calculate it, it was the tipping-point state that gave the 270th electoral vote to both former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020.

Once a…

Podcast Episode 33: Sleeper House Poll, Senate Ratings, House Races w/ Erin Covey of Cook Political

October 17, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report…

Podcast Episode 32: North Carolina Poll, VP Debate, Election Models w/ Nathaniel Rakich of 538

October 3, 2024 · 3:13 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.

Listen to the…

7 Initial Thoughts After the Vice Presidential Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 2, 2024 · 5:23 PM EDT

I used to be a debate skeptic. I was skeptical that debates changed the trajectory of elections. But after President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump squared off in one of the most consequential debates in history on June 27 and considering the race between Trump and Vice President…

Podcast Episode 31: Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut’s 5th w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

September 19, 2024 · 1:18 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…

Trump, Harris Face Off in Philadelphia with the White House on the Line

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2024 · 12:25 PM EDT

The first, and potentially only, debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is in the books. While it will be at least a few days or more to know how the Philadelphia faceoff played with voters, there are at least a handful of key points and…