House News & Analysis

2018 House Overview: The Expanding Playing Field

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 16, 2018 · 9:00 AM EDT

With six months to go before Election Day and their national generic ballot lead slipping to 5 points in the Real Clear Politics average, Democrats are still likely to have a good night in the House. It’s less clear whether Democrats will have a great night or an historic one. 

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) Alabama - Iowa

May 16, 2018 · 8:59 AM EDT

Alabama. June 5 primary.

2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. Roby has a couple high-profile primary challengers in former Rep. Bobby Bright, who served in the House as a Democrat when Roby ousted him in 2010, and Rich Hobson, who served…

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) Kansas - New York

May 16, 2018 · 8:58 AM EDT

Kansas. Aug. 7 primary.

2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. Former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis ($669,000) carried the 2nd District 51-45 percent in the 2014 gubernatorial race against Gov. Sam Brownback and is giving Democrats a chance to win this GOP-leaning district. None…

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) North Carolina - Wyoming

May 16, 2018 · 8:57 AM EDT

North Carolina.

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman ($63,000 on April 18) won the Democratic nomination and could complicate her party’s chances because her primary opponent was personally wealthy. Holding ($285,000), who has some personal money, could become more…

Candidate Conversation - Clarke Tucker (D)

May 16, 2018 · 8:56 AM EDT

Arkansas’ 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: May 10, 2018

Date of Birth: Jan. 20, 1981; Little Rock, Ark. 

Education: Harvard College (2003), Univ. of Arkansas law school (2006)

Elected Office: State House (2014-present) 

Current Outlook: State Rep. Clarke Tucker gives Democrats a credible challenger against GOP Rep. French…

Candidate Conversation - Paul Martin (R)

May 16, 2018 · 8:55 AM EDT

California’s 48th District - Rating: Tilt Republican

Interview Date: April 25, 2018

Date of Birth: July 9, 1965; Whittier, Calif.

Education: UCLA (Bachelor’s, 2003); Biola Univ. (Master’s 2008); Orange Coast Community College (attended)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Early in the cycle, national Democrats touted biologist Hans…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

by Stuart Rothenberg May 14, 2018 · 11:37 AM EDT

Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems).

This cycle’s version has a plethora of seats to choose from, given the 38 Republican and 19 Democratic seats…

Ohio Primaries: Republicans Choose Brown Challenger

May 9, 2018 · 12:21 AM EDT

Senate. Sherrod Brown (D) elected 2006 (56%), 2012 (51%). Rep. Jim Renacci won the GOP nomination in the least suspenseful Senate primary of the night, defeating investment banker Mike Gibbons 47-32 percent. Renacci was also the only GOP congressman to be victorious in a Senate primary last night, as West…

West Virginia Primaries: Morrisey to take on Manchin for Senate

May 9, 2018 · 12:16 AM EDT

Senate. Joe Manchin (D) elected 2010 special (53%), 2012 (61%). Former coal company CEO Don Blankenship, who served a year in prison, enjoyed a few days in the national spotlight as a serious contender for the GOP nomination. But state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey prevailed with 35 percent over Rep.…

North Carolina Primaries: Pittenger Falls, 9th Shifts Toward Democrats

May 8, 2018 · 11:10 PM EDT

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman won the Democratic nomination over tech entrepreneur Ken Romley and will face the incumbent Republican in the general election. The race has been included in the broadest discussion of competitive seats, but Coleman’s…