House News & Analysis

Candidate Conversation - Denver Riggleman (R)

July 6, 2018 · 2:22 PM EDT

Virginia’s 5th District - Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: June 20, 2018

Date of Birth: March 17, 1970; Manassas, Va.

Education: Univ. of Virginia (1998)

Elected Office: None; Ran for governor in 2017

Current Outlook: Democrat Leslie Cockburn was set to face GOP Rep. Tom Garrett in November, but the…

The Wrong Fight at the Wrong Time for the GOP

by Stuart Rothenberg June 29, 2018 · 11:34 AM EDT

You need to hand it to President Donald Trump, his entire administration and his party. It takes more than a little chutzpah to act in a way that seems callous to the concerns of children. First, it was gun control. Now it is immigration in general, and separating children from…

10 One-Liners after Tuesday’s Primaries

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2018 · 2:18 AM EDT

There’s plenty to digest from Tuesday’s primaries in New York, Maryland, Utah and beyond, but here are a few initial thoughts encapsulated in some run-on sentences.

Crowley’s loss. North Carolina Rep. Robert Pittenger’s primary loss last month wasn’t a surprise (considering his narrow win in 2016), and South Carolina…

GOP Poll: Donnelly in Position to Win in Indiana

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2018 · 10:25 AM EDT

After defeating a flawed candidate in 2012 and President Donald Trump winning Indiana in 2016 by nearly 20 points, Sen. Joe Donnelly is widely regarded as one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators in the country. But don’t count him out yet, according to a new Republican poll.

Former state…

Kentucky 6: Is There a Swing District in The Bluegrass State?

by Leah Askarinam June 14, 2018 · 4:00 PM EDT

It’s only been eight years since voters in Lexington sent a Democrat to Congress. But it feels like an eternity after Donald Trump won Kentucky by nearly 30 points in 2016.

Many of the 77 House districts rated as vulnerable this year can be sorted into a few key categories:…

California House: Parties Regroup after Primary

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 14, 2018 · 3:59 PM EDT

Despite the breathless analysis in the run up to California’s Top Two primary, Democrats successfully navigated complicated races and have a nominee in each of their targeted House races. 

Getting locked out of the general election by not finishing in the top two would have been a disappointment and an…

Rating Change: New Jersey 5 Moves Off Competitive List

June 14, 2018 · 3:57 PM EDT

Republican optimism about defeating Democratic Rep. Josh Gottheimer in New Jersey’s 5th District was fueled by President Donald Trump’s narrow victory in 2016, the congressman’s initial victory over a lackluster incumbent and Republican Steve Lonegan’s deep pockets and past electoral performance in the area.

But that scenario took a turn…

Steve Bannon Is Right About the Midterms — Until He Isn’t

by Stuart Rothenberg June 14, 2018 · 8:10 AM EDT

Former Trump campaign chief executive and White House strategist Steve Bannon recently told CNN’s Fareed Zakaria that the midterm elections will be “an up or down vote” on the president. He also asserted that it’s imperative that Donald Trump nationalize the midterm elections.

“Trump’s second presidential race will be on…

General Election Stage (Mostly) Set in Eight More States

by Leah Askarinam June 6, 2018 · 12:20 PM EDT

The Republican majority was at risk before Tuesday’s primaries and it’s vulnerable after the primaries. But a fresh crop of results in eight states narrows the crowded fields of candidates. Some results are not official, but this is where things are most likely headed.


Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey…

Colorado’s 6th District: Democrats Try to Crack the Coffman Code

by Leah Askarinam June 1, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

A handful of Republican House incumbents represent districts that, on the surface, should be firmly in the Democratic column. But despite a series of factors that have created difficult bids for re-election—including redistricting decisions that unfavorably altered the partisanship of the constituency, demographic change that has translated into more Democratic…