House News & Analysis

Florida 26: Can Local Politics Trump Partisanship?

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans are putting Tip O’Neill’s “All politics is local” to the ultimate test in Florida. GOP strategists generally believe that their path back to the House majority lies in districts carried or narrowly lost by President Donald Trump in 2016. Florida’s 26th is not one of those districts; it voted…

Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)

June 5, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Hawaii’s 2nd District (Northern Oahu and all other islands) Open; Tulsi Gabbard, D, ran for president. The primary isn’t until August but pilot/state Sen. Kai Kahele is the likely Democratic nominee and likely new Member of Congress in this Democratic district…

Candidate Conversation: Brigid Callahan Harrison (D)

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2020 · 2:25 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 2nd District — Rating: Tilt Republican

Interview Date: May 20, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: May 21, 1965; Camden, New Jersey

Education: Stockton Univ. (1988); Rutgers (M.A. 1990); Temple Univ. (Ph.D. 1996)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Harrison is the frontrunner…

Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican

June 2, 2020 · 11:15 PM EDT

Republicans lost an incumbent but gained some peace of mind as Iowa Rep. Steve King finally went down to defeat. He lost to state Sen. Randy Feenstra on Tuesday in the 4th District primary and by a wide enough margin to avoid the contest going to a convention. 

President Donald…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama - Iowa

May 22, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

At-Large District Don Young, R, re-elected 53%.
Trump 51%. Independent Alyse Galvin, who lost by 7 points…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas - New York

May 22, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

2nd District (Topeka, Lawrence, eastern rural Kansas) Steve Watkins, R, elected 48%.
Trump 56%. Watkins ($438,000 cash on hand on March 31) has been embroiled in varying degrees of ethics and personal scandals since before he won in 2018, perturbing state treasurer Jake LaTurner ($572,000) enough that he…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 22, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 
2nd District (Raleigh) Open; George Holding, R, not seeking re-election.
Clinton 60%. 2016 Senate…

Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 22, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

South Carolina’s 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: May 11, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: July 5,…

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 20, 2020 · 12:27 PM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You…

California 25: Can Garcia Win the Battle and the War?

by Jacob Rubashkin May 8, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans are poised to win back a Democratic leaning district in a special election, but what will it really say about their chances in November?

In 2018, non-profit executive Katie Hill scored one of the midterm’s more surprising victories when she unseated two-term GOP Rep. Steve Knight. It wasn’t just…