House News & Analysis

GOP Poll: Donnelly in Position to Win in Indiana

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2018 · 10:25 AM EDT

After defeating a flawed candidate in 2012 and President Donald Trump winning Indiana in 2016 by nearly 20 points, Sen. Joe Donnelly is widely regarded as one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators in the country. But don’t count him out yet, according to a new Republican poll.

Former state…

Kentucky 6: Is There a Swing District in The Bluegrass State?

by Leah Askarinam June 14, 2018 · 4:00 PM EDT

It’s only been eight years since voters in Lexington sent a Democrat to Congress. But it feels like an eternity after Donald Trump won Kentucky by nearly 30 points in 2016.

Many of the 77 House districts rated as vulnerable this year can be sorted into a few key categories:…

California House: Parties Regroup after Primary

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 14, 2018 · 3:59 PM EDT

Despite the breathless analysis in the run up to California’s Top Two primary, Democrats successfully navigated complicated races and have a nominee in each of their targeted House races. 

Getting locked out of the general election by not finishing in the top two would have been a disappointment and an…

Rating Change: New Jersey 5 Moves Off Competitive List

June 14, 2018 · 3:57 PM EDT

Republican optimism about defeating Democratic Rep. Josh Gottheimer in New Jersey’s 5th District was fueled by President Donald Trump’s narrow victory in 2016, the congressman’s initial victory over a lackluster incumbent and Republican Steve Lonegan’s deep pockets and past electoral performance in the area.

But that scenario took a turn…

Steve Bannon Is Right About the Midterms — Until He Isn’t

by Stuart Rothenberg June 14, 2018 · 8:10 AM EDT

Former Trump campaign chief executive and White House strategist Steve Bannon recently told CNN’s Fareed Zakaria that the midterm elections will be “an up or down vote” on the president. He also asserted that it’s imperative that Donald Trump nationalize the midterm elections.

“Trump’s second presidential race will be on…

General Election Stage (Mostly) Set in Eight More States

by Leah Askarinam June 6, 2018 · 12:20 PM EDT

The Republican majority was at risk before Tuesday’s primaries and it’s vulnerable after the primaries. But a fresh crop of results in eight states narrows the crowded fields of candidates. Some results are not official, but this is where things are most likely headed.

Alabama

Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey…

Colorado’s 6th District: Democrats Try to Crack the Coffman Code

by Leah Askarinam June 1, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

A handful of Republican House incumbents represent districts that, on the surface, should be firmly in the Democratic column. But despite a series of factors that have created difficult bids for re-election—including redistricting decisions that unfavorably altered the partisanship of the constituency, demographic change that has translated into more Democratic…

Candidate Conversation - Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D)

June 1, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Illinois 13th District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: May 11, 2018

Date of Birth: June 21, 1971; Springfield, Illinois 

Education: Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (1993)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Londrigan, former director of alumni affairs at Univ. of Illinois-Springfield, small business woman and a…

Candidate Conversation - Gretchen Driskell (D)

June 1, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Michigan’s 7th District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: May 10, 2018

Date of Birth: Oct. 1, 1958; New York, N.Y.

Education: Lynchburg College (1980); George Washington University (MBA 1987)

Elected Office: Saline City Council (former, 1993-1999); Saline Mayor (former, 1999-2012); state House (former, 2013-16); 2016 7th District nominee

Current…

Candidate Conversation - Kathy Manning (D)

June 1, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

North Carolina’s 13th District — Rating: Likely R

Interview Date: March 14, 2018

Date of Birth: Dec. 3, 1956; Detroit, Mi.

Education: Harvard (1978); Univ. of Michigan Law School (1981)

Elected Office: None; first run for office

Current Outlook: President Donald Trump received 53 percent in this North Carolina district,…