House News & Analysis

Virginia 7: No Such Thing as an Easy Race for Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 24, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

It’s becoming a familiar story: many of Republicans’ best House takeover opportunities are represented by some of Democrats’ strongest new incumbents. Virginia’s 7th District is a great example. 

All eyes were on central Virginia earlier this week when more than 20,000 gun-rights protesters descended on Richmond in opposition to legislation…

Candidate Conversation - Cynthia Lummis (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

Wyoming Senate

Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Jan. 14, 2020

Date of Birth: Sept. 10, 1954; Cheyenne, Wyo.

Education: Univ. of Wyoming (Bachelors, law school)

Elected Office: U.S. House (former), state Treasurer (former), state Senate (former), state House (former)

Current Outlook: Lummis is the frontrunner to replace GOP Sen. Mike…

Candidate Conversation - Robert Emmons Jr. (D)

January 24, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Illinois’ 1st District 

Rating: Solid Democratic

Interview Date: Nov. 15, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 10, 1992; Atlantic City, N.J.

Education: Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: As with virtually all primary challengers to incumbents, Emmons is an underdog against long-time Rep. Bobby…

Candidate Conversation - Jason Church (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

Wisconsin’s 7th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Nov. 15, 2019

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1989; Fort Knox, Ky.

Education: Univ. of Wisconsin La Crosse (2011), Georgetown Univ. (Masters, 2015), Univ. of Wisconsin law school (2018)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Church is facing…

Candidate Conversation - Bob Elliott (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:24 PM EST

California’s 10th District — Rating: Likely Democratic

Interview Date: Nov. 14, 2019

Date of Birth: May 8, 1949; Russell, Kansas

Education: U.S. Military Academy West Point; Naval Postgraduate School (Masters, 1985); 

Elected Office: San Joaquin Board of Supervisors; Tracy City Council (former)

Current Outlook: Elliott is battling fellow Republican/former Turlock…

Candidate Conversation - Kendall Qualls (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:23 PM EST

Minnesota’s 3rd District — Rating: Solid Democratic

Interview Date: Dec. 11, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 16, 1963; New York City, N.Y.

Education: Cameron Univ. (1985); Univ. of Oklahoma (Masters, 1988); Univ. of Michigan (MBA, 2011); 

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Qualls is the likely GOP…

California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 16, 2020 · 2:15 PM EST

California Republican Duncan Hunter finally left the House and took any Democratic chances of winning the 50th District with him.

Hunter won reelection in 2018 by 3 points in a Southern California seat that Republicans shouldn’t have to worry about defending, considering President Donald Trump carried it by 15 points…

Important Redistricting Process Begins with Reapportionment

by Ryan Matsumoto January 10, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

In December, the Census Bureau released new 2019 population estimates that give us clues about which states will gain or lose congressional seats and how the Electoral College will be impacted for the next decade.

History & Process
The Reapportionment Act of 1929 outlined the process by which…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not…

South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In the wake of a historic House vote, there’s no hotter topic than impeachment and no better place to look for fallout than South Carolina’s 1st District. 

Rep. Joe Cunningham is one 30 Democrats who represent districts that Donald Trump carried in the 2016 presidential election. And among that group,…