House News & Analysis

2020 House Overview: It’s Not Too Early

February 15, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.

At this…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

February 15, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. 1st District (Bradley Byrne, R, re-elected 63%). Trump 64%. The congressman is likely to challenge Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary is almost inevitable for his open seat. Solid R.

Alaska. At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 53%). Trump 53%. The congressman, who was first elected…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Kansas - New York

February 15, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. 1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman could run for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, creating an open congressional seat. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann could run. He finished third in the 2010 primary with 21 percent. Tim Huelskamp finished first, but Marshall defeated…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): North Carolina - Wisconsin

February 15, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. 2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. House Democrats didn’t make any inroads in North Carolina last cycle, but they didn’t have a star candidate to test their ceiling in Raleigh’s suburbs. The Democratic candidate, former state Rep. Linda Coleman, was perceived as the weaker candidate…

Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)

February 1, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

California’s 50th District. Alex Balkin became the second Democrat to announce a challenge to indicted GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter. 2018 nominee Ammar Campa-Najjar was the first. Balkin formerly worked at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Department of Defense. The district is considerably favorable to Republicans, considering Hunter was under…

Texas House: Emerging Battlegrounds

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats didn’t win every competitive House race in Texas in 2018, but they picked up two Republican seats. And some strategists are talking about The Lone Star State being the next Orange County, Calif., where Democrats organized to pick up four seats in 2018 after decades of Republican control.


Iowa’s 4th District: A King Without a Kingdom?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 18, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

GOP Rep. Steve King of Iowa prevailed in a close general election in 2018, but he could face competitive primary and general election races in 2020.

State Sen. Randy Feenstra didn’t mention King by name when he announced his candidacy on Jan. 9 but plans to challenge the eight-term congressman…

Report Shorts (Jan. 18, 2019)

January 18, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

California’s 50th District. Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar came within 4 points of defeating GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter in 2016 and announced he will seek a rematch in 2020. But there’s a chance neither man makes it to the next general election. 

Hunter is under indictment and facing trial in September, and there’s…

Texas 2nd District: Live From Houston

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Saturday Night Live helped make Republican Dan Crenshaw a national figure before he was elected to Congress. But some GOP strategists had already identified him as a rising star.

The 2nd District had key components that made it a Democratic takeover opportunity in 2018: an open seat in a majority-minority…

Texas 3rd District: A Second Chance at a First Impression

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:26 PM EST

A dozen years ago, Republican Van Taylor ran for Congress in one of the worst cycles for the GOP. Last cycle wasn’t great for Republicans either, but Taylor prevailed. 

Despite GOP Rep. Sam Johnson’s retirement after 13 terms, leaving this seat open, the 3rd District wasn’t considered a particularly competitive…