House News & Analysis

OMG!!! A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN. Or Maybe Not

by Stuart Rothenberg September 28, 2013 · 10:09 PM EDT

Once again, Henny Penny is running around to warn us that the sky is falling. A government shutdown is only [fill in the blank] days, [fill in the blank] hours and [fill in the blank] minutes away. The countdown clock shows the seconds ticking by. The end is near.

Fight for House Could Hinge on GOP Civil War

by Stuart Rothenberg September 27, 2013 · 3:00 PM EDT

One year from now, House Democrats and Republicans will be fighting it out during the crucial stretch run up to the midterm elections. But what happens over the next month on Capitol Hill could well have more impact on those election results than what happens next September.

At…

2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Alabama - Indiana

September 27, 2013 · 2:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6 Republicans, 1 Democrat)
AL 1 (Open; Bonner, R). Special Election. November 5 Run-off, December 17 general election. Jo Bonner resigned from Congress in mid-August in order to take a position with the University of Alabama system. Former state senator/2012 gubernatorial candidate Bradley Byrne (35 percent) and…

2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Iowa - Oklahoma

September 27, 2013 · 2:58 PM EDT

Iowa (2R, 2D)
IA 1 (Open; Braley, D). Bruce Braley looks to have the cleared the Democratic field in the Senate race, but his congressional seat could get crowded. The Democratic field includes former state House Speaker Pat Murphy, Cedar Rapids City Councilor Monica Vernon, former state Sen.…

2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Oregon - Wyoming

September 27, 2013 · 2:57 PM EDT

Oregon (1R, 4D)
OR 4 (DeFazio, D). Former co-Speaker of the Oregon House Bruce Hanna (R) met with NRCC officials to explore a potential run against Peter DeFazio. President Obama only won the district with 52 percent in 2012, so there is the potential for a competitive race.…

5 Things Winning Candidates Say

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 27, 2013 · 9:57 AM EDT

After the overwhelming response to “10 Things Losing Candidates Say," I decided to try to turn it around and point out some common themes from winning candidates.

Of course these phrases don’t guarantee success — a candidate’s party and the partisanship of the state or district will…

Republicans Win Belated Legal Battles, but Elections Can’t Be Undone

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2013 · 12:14 PM EDT

You can’t rewrite history, but Republicans probably wish you could.

While two high-profile former GOP officeholders — Texas Rep. Tom DeLay and the late Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens — have now had their convictions overturned or dismissed, Republicans are still dealing with the political consequences.

It’s easy…

How Bad Is the GOP Rift? Worse Than Democrats in the 1980s

by Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2013 · 4:18 PM EDT

Political parties seem to suffer through internal battles periodically, but the current state of the GOP is much worse than what Democrats went through some 25 years ago, when organized labor and old-style liberals fought against the Democratic Leadership Council for the soul of the party.

I still…

House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2013 · 9:10 AM EDT

Roll Call's Kyle Trygstad nearly declared the end to the Senate recruitment season recently, but House strategists on both sides of the aisle still have their work cut out for them.

With a little more than a year before Election Day, Republican and Democratic operatives are searching…

Democrats Ready to Land Recruit in Elusive California District

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 20, 2013 · 9:51 AM EDT

It’s no secret Democrats whiffed at a huge opportunity in California’s 21st District last cycle. And while it’s taken them awhile to get their footing, it looks like they have found a candidate that could run a competitive race that matches the competitive district.

In 2012, Republican…