Being an ally of the Speaker of the House is normally an asset. But these are not normal times for the Republican Party.
GOP Rep. Mike Simpson is in his eighth term representing Idaho’s 2nd District, has a prime slot on the Appropriations Committee and has been a…
Late last week, Democrats released a poll showing Democrat Gwen Graham running neck-and-neck with GOP Rep. Steve Southerland II. They could have saved themselves a few thousand dollars because you don’t need a poll to show that Florida’s 2nd District will be competitive. But that also doesn’t mean…
President Barack Obama could have saved himself a lot of headaches, and potentially his presidential legacy, if he had done one thing: cultivated a relationship with Congress.
It doesn’t have anything to do with courting GOP leadership or caving to tea party conservatives. Multiple congressional Democrats believe the…
Local races rarely have an impact on statewide or congressional elections, but a trio of local races this year could have an effect on three competitive House districts next year.
The most immediate example is the special election for mayor of San Diego.
Republican former City Councilman…
According to conventional wisdom, there are fewer competitive House races than ever before thanks to partisan gerrymandering. But a closer look at the past 10 elections shows that the 2014 batch of races isn’t far from other non-wave cycles.
There are currently 49 House seats rated as…
It’s August of an odd-numbered year, but the 2014 cycle is heating up. That means dozens of candidates are visiting us at The Rothenberg Political Report in anticipation of the midterm elections.
Some of them will win, but most will lose. So we’ve started taking notes on some…
With only 50 competitive seats on the House playing field, it’s important to look at primaries on both sides of the aisle that will choose the next member of Congress. And with House Republicans divided into two camps, any GOP primary raises important questions.
GOP Rep. Jo Bonner…
Rodney Alexander doesn’t do anything with a lot of advance notice.
In 2004, the Democratic congressman from Louisiana switched parties just before the filing deadline to ensure that angry Democrats wouldn’t have enough time to field a candidate against him.
This year, the ink was hardly dry…
I shouldn’t be disappointed with MSNBC’s “Daily Rundown,” one of the few reasonable political shows not airing on Sunday morning. But the show did a segment with Indiana University sociologist Fabio Rojas, who recently wrote a Washington Post opinion piece on how Twitter can predict an election.
Instead…
The folks over at the Washington Post must have needed copy desperately for Monday’s opinion page if they were willing to publish a piece titled, “How Twitter can help predict an election.”
In the column, Indiana University Sociologist Fabio Rojas asserts: “Twitter discussions are an unusually good…
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