Things Continue to Fall in Place for John McCain

by Stuart Rothenberg April 3, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s still a long time until the Iowa caucuses formally kick off the 2008 race for the White House. But it’s hard not to conclude that events are lining up perfectly for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), should he decide to make another run.

A weakened President Bush and a damaged Republican Party…

Democrats’ Security Rebound is More About Bush

April 1, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

Pardon me if I had a feeling of déjà vu, but the sight of dozens of Democratic members of Congress and “first responders” together “rallying” in Washington, D.C. to prove that Democrats are tough on terrorism and the party of “real security” brought back memories of Boston’s Fleet Center and…

Veterans Finding the Going Rough on the Campaign Trail

March 30, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

We’ve only just begun the primary season, but already there are strong signs that the Democrats’ strategy of recruiting veterans who served in Iraq is a bust.

That’s the unavoidable conclusion that I have come to even after reading the recent press release from the Iraq and Afghanistan…

Not Everything Bush Does Is About the Christian Right

by Stuart Rothenberg March 28, 2006 · 11:05 PM EST

This is a true story. The names have been changed to protect the — well, just because I’d rather not name names.

The other day I received a telephone call from a producer at a television network. The caller inquired about whether I might be available to do an interview for a story scheduled to…

Florida Senate: Is $10 Million Enough?

March 27, 2006 · 12:10 AM EST

With Rep. Katherine Harris (R-FL) pledging to sell the farm and put $10 million of her own money into the Florida Senate race, it’s fair to reevaluate her chances of knocking off Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL).

From the beginning, Republican insiders believed that Harris was simply unelectable statewide.…

Ohio 18: Going, Going, Gone?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:10 PM EST

GOP Cong. Bob Ney is in serious trouble. He has not been indicted like his colleague Tom DeLay, but his reelection prospects are in jeopardy. The ethical questions surrounding Ney and his relationship with lobbyist Jack Abramoff has put the Republican Party at risk of losing Ohio’s 18th…

Ohio 13: Playing Catch-Up

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:06 PM EST

Democratic Cong. Sherrod Brown finally decided to take the Senate plunge, setting up an open seat race in Ohio’s 13th Congressional District. Brown, who was first elected in 1992, is taking on Sen. Mike DeWine (R) in a state where Republicans are reeling.

But Brown’s absence in his district has…

Pennsylvania Senate: First One to Fall

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:02 PM EST

There is no presidential race this year, but Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate Race may be the next best thing. Up to this point, the race hasn’t even been close, with state Treasurer Bob Casey Jr. (D) leading Sen. Rick Santorum (R) by ten to twelve points in public polling with seven months to go. But…

New Print Edition: PA Senate, OH13&18

March 24, 2006 · 4:01 PM EST

The new March 24, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

Pennsylvania Senate: First One to Fall
By Nathan L. Gonzales

There is no presidential race this year, but Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate Race may be the next…

An Empire State Headache for Republicans?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2006 · 11:05 PM EST

Looking for a sign of whether a big Democratic wave is developing? Try New York.

Once a state with genuine political competitiveness where liberal Republicans (including Thomas Dewey, Jacob Javits, Nelson Rockefeller and Ken Keating) prospered, the Empire State has veered toward the Democrats…