According to nonpartisan and Republican polls, Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.) is one of the most endangered incumbents in the country. But public Democratic polls tell an entirely different story.
A recent Oct. 8-12 Franklin & Marshall College survey showed Hazelton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) leading…
Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.
Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added
WASHINGTON (CNN) — Chris Shays of Connecticut, the last Republican in the House of Representatives from New England, is used to running against the partisan tide. But this year, the wave might be too high for the Republican congressman to overcome.
Shays is just one of many GOP candidates…
Here are our latest Senate ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 6-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Total Electoral Votes
(270 needed to win)
Obama - 235 (safe/likely) + 71 (lean) = 306
McCain - 140 (safe/likely) + 23 (lean) = 163
Toss-ups = 69
Toss-Ups
Lean McCain
With the amount of media coverage that retired General Colin Powell’s endorsement of Barack Obama received over the weekend, you might think that it was a game-changer. It wasn’t.
Powell remains an important and widely admired political figure, and he could have had some impact on the 2008…
A dozen years ago this month, with GOP presidential nominee Bob Dole mired far back in the polls, the National Republican Congressional Committee spent millions of dollars on a television ad that urged voters not to give Bill Clinton and “liberal special interests” a “blank check” on Election Day…
Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans. Our current estimate is a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican of one governorship.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
The October 17, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…
Individual & Group Subscriptions Available