Archive

Choosing Winners, Losers: Did NRCC Make Right Picks?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 30, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Like everyone who pays attention to House races, I was more than a little interested to see where the National Republican Congressional Committee would use its limited resources on independent expenditures this cycle.

Now, with Election Day fast approaching and Republicans likely to lose more…

2008 House Ratings (October 24, 2008)

October 29, 2008 · 1:04 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain 27-33 seats, up from a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added



PURE TOSS-UP (10 R, 3 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R) #
  • AL 5 (Open;…

Three hot states to watch on Election Night

by Stuart Rothenberg October 29, 2008 · 12:04 AM EDT

(CNN) — With the presidential campaign and more than 75 competitive races for the House and Senate, keeping track of it all on Election Day can be a bit overwhelming. But focusing on three states (North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida) will provide a window through the November 4 election chaos. Read…

Alaska Senate: Begich Now Favored

October 28, 2008 · 11:16 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

2008 Senate Ratings (October 24, 2008)

October 28, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. We are increasing our estimate to a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats, up from 6-9 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans



Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
  • Sununu (R-NH)
  • CO Open (Allard, R)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA…

Georgia 13: Democrats Sound the Alarm

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 28, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

“Emergency Funds Needed for Rep. David Scott,” blared the subject line of the Oct. 21 e-mail about Georgia’s 13th district race.

It’s a strange juxtaposition in a national environment that strongly favors the Democrats and a Democratic Congressman who represents a district that Sen. John Kerry…

It’s Getting Bleaker for McCain, Worse for Hill Republicans

by Stuart Rothenberg October 27, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

While major media outlets are hesitant to pronounce the presidential race over for fear of being harassed by Republicans and conservatives, there isn’t much doubt at this late date that it is over. Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) will be elected president in less than two weeks.

Previously…

New Print Edition: Senate and House Outlook

October 25, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The October 24, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…

2008 House Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:16 PM EDT

The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican…

2010 Senate Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:10 PM EDT

The only good news for the GOP is that Alaska Senator Ted Stevens continues to show life in state polls, but everything hangs on a jury’s decision. Elsewhere, the landscape looks like utter destruction for Republicans, as Democrats are poised to make gains of at least six seats. The size of the…