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2008 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 20, 2008 · 12:03 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans. Our current estimate is a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican of one governorship.

# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



New Print Edition: Senate, House, Gubernatorial, Presidential Ratings

October 19, 2008 · 11:41 PM EDT

The October 17, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…

House rematches may give clue to size of Democratic wave

by Stuart Rothenberg October 18, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — A dozen rematches are a good place to look between now and Election Day to see what kind of year the two parties are having in the fight for the U.S. House of Representatives.

There is no question about whether Democrats will retain control. But it is unclear exactly how many…

Louisiana Senate: NRSC Back In

October 17, 2008 · 2:22 PM EDT

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has reversed an earlier decision to cancel its last two weeks of advertising in Louisiana. Instead, it has purchased TV time next week and will wait to decide whether to buy the final week before Election Day. The decision comes on the heels of GOP…

GOP May Target Mahoney Media Firm in Other Districts

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 17, 2008 · 2:05 PM EDT

With Rep. Tim Mahoney (D-Fla.) embroiled in an alleged sex scandal, Republicans are putting on the full-court press to broaden the scandal to other districts by implicating House Democratic leadership — and, potentially, Mahoney’s former media firm.

According to the initial ABC News report,…

California 3: Lungren Responds to Challenger With Two Polls

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 16, 2008 · 11:15 AM EDT

On the heels of his opponent releasing a poll showing a statistically even race, Rep. Dan Lungren (R-Calif.) countered by paying for two polls by separate pollsters, each showing him with a significant lead.

An Oct. 7 survey for the Republican’s campaign, conducted by pollster Val Smith, showed…

Massachusetts Senate: Kerry Visits ‘South Pacific’ for Re-Election Bid

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 16, 2008 · 10:15 AM EDT

With Election Day just three weeks away, Sen. John Kerry (D) doesn’t seem the least bit worried about his re-election. The Massachusetts Senator was spotted exiting the Lincoln Center Theater in Manhattan on Saturday night after catching the revival of Rodgers and Hammerstein’s “South Pacific.”

Swing Districts Will Show What Election Night Looks Like

by Stuart Rothenberg October 16, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

As we inch toward November, it looks as if a couple of dozen House races will determine whether Democrats will have a terrific night or merely a good one. Expectations continue to change, and the bar is getting very, very high for Democrats.

Eighteen months ago, the idea that the Democratic…

2008 Senate Ratings (October 10, 2008)

October 15, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 6-9 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans



Likely Takeover (2 R, 0 D)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean Takeover (5 R, 0 D)

  • Dole…

Candidate Gets Very Early Start

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 15, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Rick Hendrix announced his 2010 campaign for Congress a few weeks ago. But his campaign is off to an unconventional start — beginning with the fact that he hasn’t chosen a district to run in yet.

That hasn’t stopped the entertainment industry insider from promoting his candidacy, however.