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Convention: Lone Star Lamentations

by Jessica Taylor August 28, 2012 · 8:56 PM EDT

TAMPA, Fla. – It was supposed to be Rep. Quico Canseco’s shining moment. As he addressed RNC delegates Tuesday afternoon, the freshman Republican broke into Spanish, telling a warm GOP crowd that with Romney, “we can do better.”

But as soon as he stepped off the stage, Canseco was greeted with…

Convention: To NRCC, Offense is the Best Defense

by Jessica Taylor August 28, 2012 · 11:17 AM EDT

TAMPA, Fla. -- Republicans are defending their majority, but that’s not stopping them from playing offense and from trying to pin Democrats down and forcing them to defend some of their own districts.

GOP operatives are very bullish on their chances in several districts where Democrats survived…

Convention: In Politics, Timing Can Be Everything

by Stuart Rothenberg August 26, 2012 · 11:00 PM EDT

As a reformed political scientist who still looks closely at polls and is always knee-deep in past electoral results, I understand that people are impressed by statistical analysis, even when it creates a faulty sense of precision. But what makes politics so fascinating is the unexpected…

Virginia 2: Roads to Power

by Jessica Taylor August 24, 2012 · 3:00 PM EDT

There may be no more important battleground in the country for control of the presidency and the Senate than Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District. And those two crucial fights are critical to making the only potentially competitive House race in the Old Dominion this year winnable for Democrats.…

Ohio 14: Competitive Later, Rather Than Sooner

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 24, 2012 · 2:59 PM EDT

Republican David Joyce couldn’t ask for a much easier path to Congress, but it won’t likely be this way forever.

Just three months before Election Day, nine-term Rep. Steve LaTourette (R) announced his retirement from Ohio’s 14th District. But the primary was five months ago, and, according to…

Massachusetts 6: Family Feud

by Jessica Taylor August 24, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

The GOP could be seeing the re-emergence of the once-extinct breed of New England Republicans this fall, thanks to a series of mistakes from Democratic incumbents.

While Republicans have two good opportunities in unexpected seats in Rhode Island and Massachusetts, it’s the Bay State’s 6th…

Michigan 11: Christmas Miracle?

by Jessica Taylor August 24, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

Christmas came early for Democrats in Michigan’s 11th District, while Republicans hope they don’t get a lump of coal as they try to hold onto this GOP seat that shouldn’t even be in play, if not for a series of unfortunate events.

Rep. Thad McCotter (R) always marched to the beat of his own…

Georgia Runoffs Paint Incomplete Picture

by Jessica Taylor August 22, 2012 · 10:26 AM EDT

Rep. John Barrow (D-Ga.) remains one of the most endangered incumbents in the country, but he also remains without a firm opponent, after Tuesday’s runoff failed to produce a clear winner.

With all precincts reporting in the 12th District GOP runoff, state Rep. Lee Anderson led businessman Rick…

Missouri Senate: Move to Pure Toss-up

August 21, 2012 · 2:48 PM EDT

Two weeks ago, we were preparing to move the Missouri Senate race from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican, if either businessman John Brunner or former state treasurer Sarah Steelman had won the GOP Senate primary on August 7 and the right to face Sen. Claire McCaskill (D).

Now, after…