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As a reformed political scientist who still looks closely at polls and is always knee-deep in past electoral results, I understand that people are impressed by statistical analysis, even when it creates a faulty sense of precision. But what makes politics so fascinating is the unexpected…
There may be no more important battleground in the country for control of the presidency and the Senate than Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District. And those two crucial fights are critical to making the only potentially competitive House race in the Old Dominion this year winnable for Democrats.…
Republican David Joyce couldn’t ask for a much easier path to Congress, but it won’t likely be this way forever.
Just three months before Election Day, nine-term Rep. Steve LaTourette (R) announced his retirement from Ohio’s 14th District. But the primary was five months ago, and, according to…
The GOP could be seeing the re-emergence of the once-extinct breed of New England Republicans this fall, thanks to a series of mistakes from Democratic incumbents.
While Republicans have two good opportunities in unexpected seats in Rhode Island and Massachusetts, it’s the Bay State’s 6th…
Christmas came early for Democrats in Michigan’s 11th District, while Republicans hope they don’t get a lump of coal as they try to hold onto this GOP seat that shouldn’t even be in play, if not for a series of unfortunate events.
Rep. Thad McCotter (R) always marched to the beat of his own…
Rep. John Barrow (D-Ga.) remains one of the most endangered incumbents in the country, but he also remains without a firm opponent, after Tuesday’s runoff failed to produce a clear winner.
With all precincts reporting in the 12th District GOP runoff, state Rep. Lee Anderson led businessman Rick…
Two weeks ago, we were preparing to move the Missouri Senate race from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican, if either businessman John Brunner or former state treasurer Sarah Steelman had won the GOP Senate primary on August 7 and the right to face Sen. Claire McCaskill (D).
Now, after…
The NRCC’s Independent Expenditure campaign will launch TV ads tomorrow in four districts currently held by moderate Democrats who survived the 2010 GOP wave, and the ads are surprisingly different from each other.
These initial ads are being released about a month earlier than they were aired…