Should Down-Ballot Republicans Ready a ‘No Blank Check’ Strategy?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 10, 2020 · 8:45 AM EDT

Weeks before the 1996 general election, operatives at the Republican National Committee and National Republican Congressional Committee urged GOP campaigns to adopt a last-minute, new strategy.

As New York Times reporter Adam Clymer wrote, they urged “their party’s Congressional candidates…

No, DC Statehood Won’t Lead to Permanent Senate Majority for Democrats

by Jacob Rubashkin July 6, 2020 · 10:24 AM EDT

Any conversation about DC statehood will inevitably include Republicans predicting a permanent influx of Democrats on Capitol Hill. But history reveals that two additional Democratic senators would rarely have made a difference in control of the Senate over the last half century.

In late…

The Russian Bounty Story is Not the Reset the Trump Campaign Needs

by Jacob Rubashkin July 1, 2020 · 11:07 AM EDT

While President Donald Trump’s re-election is at its most precarious point yet, another hot issue is moving into the conversation which could delay or prevent him from regaining his footing. 

Trump has slipped significantly in the polls, both nationwide and in crucial swing states, against…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher June 26, 2020 · 9:51 AM EDT

June has been a rocky month for relations between President Donald Trump and the pollsters of America. Following his renewed admonishment of outlets who publish unfavorable toplines — along with his steadfast endorsement of dubious “unskewed” data — the president seems to realize he’s behind…

How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment

by Jacob Rubashkin June 25, 2020 · 11:52 AM EDT

In 2014, Republicans took over nine Democratic Senate seats — the largest gain in two decades — and with them control of the chamber for the first time since 2006.

Six years, two Senate elections, and one presidential upset later, the Republican Senate majority teeters on an edge, as the…

Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption

by Jacob Rubashkin June 19, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Jon Ossoff has been the punchline of an expensive joke for the last three years. But the one-time failed House candidate might get the last laugh in a Senate race that has been out of the spotlight until recently.

Much of the attention around Georgia has focused on whether it’s a presidential…

Elections Reach Key Moment

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 19, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

There’s still more than four months to go before November, but the 2020 elections are at a critical juncture. 

If the election were held today, President Donald Trump would be defeated, Democrats would win control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House. Republicans would get routed.…

Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)

June 19, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Colorado Senate, Cory Gardner, R, elected 48%. It’s been a rough couple of weeks for former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the likely Democratic nominee. He was forced to pay a $2,750 fine after the state’s Independent Ethics Commission found him guilty of accepting two illegal gifts on trips he took as…