Gubernatorial Updates (October 7, 2022)

October 7, 2022 · 2:27 PM EDT

Oklahoma. Kevin Stitt (R), elected 2018 (54%). Stitt should win re-election in a state as bright red as Oklahoma. But he’s going to have to work harder for it than the state’s partisan lean suggests. Two recent polls show Stitt in a margin-of-error race with state Superintendent of Education Joy…

New Mexico 2: New Democratic Poll Shows Tight Race

by Erin Covey October 4, 2022 · 2:00 PM EDT

After flipping New Mexico’s 2nd District in 2020, GOP Rep. Yvette Herrell is locked in a competitive race with Gabe Vasquez, a former Las Cruces city councilmember. The massive district, which stretches across the southern half of the state, is more favorable to Democrats after redistricting,…

2022 Election Preview (September 23, 2022): Don’t Count Republicans Out Yet

September 23, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin

This isn’t the midterm election Republicans envisioned, but the GOP can still reach their final goals.

Democrats have seen improvement in President Joe Biden’s job rating and the national generic ballot in the wake of the Dobbs decision, and…

Senate Updates (September 23, 2022)

September 23, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska. Lisa Murkowski (R) appointed 2002, elected 2004 (49%), 2010 (39% as a write-in), 2016 (44%). Fourth-place finisher Buzz Kelley, a Republican, dropped out of the race and endorsed GOP challenger Kelly Tshibaka but will still appear on the ballot. Tshibaka has also touted endorsements from…

House Updates (September 23, 2022)

September 23, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

At-Large (Mary Peltola, D). Trump 53%. New data from the Alaska Division of Elections confirms what polling suggested: if Sarah Palin, and not Nick Begich, had been eliminated in last month’s ranked choice special election, then Begich would have handily defeated Peltola in the instant…

Nevada and New Hampshire Governor Updates (September 23, 2022)

September 23, 2022 · 2:27 PM EDT

New Hampshire. Chris Sununu (R), elected 2016 (49%), 2018 (53%), 2020 (33%). The general election matchup is official between Sununu and state Sen. Tom Sherman, a physician. Sununu’s not as popular statewide as he was in 2020 when he beat state Sen. Dan Feltes in a landslide. In October 2020, the…

2022 House Ratings (September 23, 2022)

September 23, 2022 · 2:25 PM EDT