Archive

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2021 · 8:45 AM EDT

Less than 12 hours after Flight 175 crashed into the South Tower of the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001, close to 150 members of Congress, Republicans and Democrats, stood together on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to sing “God Bless America.” Unfortunately, that act of bipartisanship won’t…

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2021 · 12:00 PM EDT

No, the 2022 midterm elections will not be about Afghanistan, but that doesn’t mean the situation won’t matter. 

While Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump contributed to the military morass, and there was close to bipartisan consensus that leaving Afghanistan was the right…

House Majority Forward Enters the Early Fight

by Christopher Sebastian August 31, 2021 · 2:23 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG

House Majority PAC  has never been afraid to spend money.

Still, the Democratic stalwart of Super PAC spending has, for the past decade, limited its involvement in off-cycle and pre-primary activity. Even as other outside PACs have grown…

2022 House Overview: Republicans on the Offensive

August 27, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With census data in hand and President Joe Biden’s job performance in the spotlight, the fight for the House is well underway. Republicans came into the cycle with history and redistricting on their side, but now might have the added benefit of a politically…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

August 27, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Current delegation breakdown: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrat. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). No partisan changes expected in the Yellowhammer State, which will retain its seven-member delegation. There is a competitive primary brewing in the 5th District…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Kansas - New York

August 27, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Republicans are focused on defeating Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids, who defeated GOP Rep. Kevin Yoder in the 3rd District in 2018 and won re-election in 2020. Biden won the district, so Republicans will likely divide…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 27, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). Republicans control the state legislature, and even though Gov. Roy Cooper is a Democrat, he has no say in the redistricting process. A lot depends on…

California Governor Recall: Down to the Wire

by Ryan Matsumoto August 27, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Voters across California are already beginning to vote in what may be the most important election of the year. The attempted recall of Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom is poised to be a blockbuster event that may have ramifications well beyond the Golden State.

How the Recall Works
The Sept. 14 recall…

New York Governor: Still Solid Democratic

by Jacob Rubashkin August 16, 2021 · 9:06 AM EDT

Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s surprise resignation is already sending shockwaves through the New York political world, from Albany to New York City.

But one thing the three-term incumbent’s exit doesn’t change is our outlook on the state’s 2022 gubernatorial contest, which remains Solid…