2020 House Ratings (February 21, 2020)

February 21, 2020 · 2:25 PM EST

RIP, Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2020 · 9:40 AM EST

It’s time to retire the term “election night.”

The semi-annual national tradition of staying up a few hours past bedtime to know who will control our government is over. From close races to voting by mail to human error, it’s becoming clear that counting votes no longer fits neatly into prime-time…

Five Thoughts After the Las Vegas Democratic Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 20, 2020 · 10:35 AM EST

I don’t have a bad Las Vegas-themed pun, just a few thoughts after Wednesday night’s Democratic tussle.

The sharp tone of the debate matched the high stakes. Candidacies are on the line. Aspirations are hanging in the balance. And a second term for President Donald Trump is staring the Democratic…

Indiana 5: Ready to Run

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 7, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

Indiana’s 5th District isn’t at the top of Democrats’ takeover target list, but the race is a good barometer for at least two key trends: the blue shift in the suburbs and the challenge for House Republicans to even maintain their small number of women on Capitol Hill. 

\Even though Donald Trump…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

by Ryan Matsumoto February 7, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

While Hillary Clinton’s campaign has often been criticized for ignoring Wisconsin and Michigan, the reality is that even if she had won those two states, she still would have lost because of Pennsylvania, where she campaigned heavily. As Democrats strategize about how they can reassemble the ‘Blue…

Candidate Conversation - Chris Bubser (D)

February 7, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

California’s 8th District — Rating: Solid Republican 

Interview Date: Jan. 27, 2020

Date of Birth: June 30, 1964; Pottsville, Pa.

Education: Lehigh Univ. (1986), UCLA (MBA, 1993)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Bubser is the top Democratic candidate in an expansive…

Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 5, 2020 · 8:45 AM EST

Four months ago, seven freshman Democrats accelerated the impeachment process with an op-ed in The Washington Post. With less than a year before Election Day, their electoral fates represent a microcosm of the Republican challenge to win back the House majority.

For much of the impeachment…

Was Hillary Clinton a Terrible Candidate?

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 3, 2020 · 8:45 AM EST

As much as Donald Trump was hailed by Republicans for winning the White House in 2016, Hillary Clinton and her campaign took plenty of blame from her fellow Democrats for the loss. A closer look confirms that she underperformed a typical Democrat in key states in the race for president, even as she…

Virginia 7: No Such Thing as an Easy Race for Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 24, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

It’s becoming a familiar story: many of Republicans’ best House takeover opportunities are represented by some of Democrats’ strongest new incumbents. Virginia’s 7th District is a great example. 

All eyes were on central Virginia earlier this week when more than 20,000 gun-rights protesters…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Michigan

by Ryan Matsumoto January 24, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

Michigan was one of the biggest surprises of the 2016 presidential election, voting Republican for the first time since 1988. It was the state where President Donald Trump won by his narrowest margin - just two tenths of a percentage point (10,704 raw votes). As Democrats look to flip states back…