Senate News & Analysis

Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 20, 2020 · 7:05 AM EDT

While Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death will go down as yet another historic event in 2020, it’s unlikely to change the fundamental trajectory of the elections.

In the middle of huge breaking news stories, it can be hard to remember that the country is incredibly polarized and the…

The Senate Deserves Your Attention

September 18, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

While the race for the White House dominates the news, the fight for the Senate is closer.

The easiest thing to do after 2016 would be to declare every race with President Donald Trump on the ballot as a toss-up. But that would…

Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

September 18, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). With less than two months to go, the senator remains the underdog against former Auburn head football coach Tommy Tuberville. Jones will likely outspend Tuberville on ads by at least a few million dollars, but GOP outside groups are helping make up…

Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent

by Jacob Rubashkin September 10, 2020 · 11:01 AM EDT

Party operatives playing fast and loose with the facts is commonplace in campaign ads, but a recent TV spot in the Kansas Senate race is stretching the norms.

A recent ad from Rep. Roger Marshall, the GOP nominee, is intended to paint Marshall’s opponent, state Sen. Barbara Bollier, as a…

Trump Needs a Convention Bounce

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 1, 2020 · 10:25 AM EDT

Whether you believe in convention bounces or not, President Donald Trump and the Republicans need one to salvage the elections this fall.

On the current trajectory, former Vice President Joe Biden is likely to win the White House and Democrats are more likely than not to take control of the…

Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 26, 2020 · 8:39 AM EDT

When Mississippi Rep. Mike Espy took the stage at the 1988 Democratic National Convention, he was a rising star casting a vision for a New South. Thirty-two years later, Espy believes his state is finally ready to turn the page and elect him to the U.S. Senate.

Less than two…

The Election in the Mirror Is Closer Than It Appears

August 21, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

This election cycle, and even just this year, has been filled with multiple historic events: the impeachment of a president, a global pandemic, near economic collapse, a national conversation about racism in America, and the first Black woman on a presidential ticket. Through…

Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)

August 21, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). The senator was part of the Democrats’ primetime lineup on the first night of their national convention, further evidence that Jones is not shying away from his partisan label. Even though Trump should win Alabama…

Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2020 · 8:31 AM EDT

The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve…

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate

July 10, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The Senate has been in play for at least nine months, but Democratic chances of winning control of the chamber have improved significantly in the last few weeks. 

As Joe Biden has grown a significant lead over President Donald Trump in the race…