Archive

Senate Report Shorts (Jan. 11, 2024)

January 11, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

California Senate. Less than two months before the March 5 primary, the TV ad war is heating up. Democratic Rep. Katie Porter has spent or reserved $2 million on ads compared to $1.77 million for Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff and $89,000 from Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee, according to AdImpact. But…

Vote Above Replacement: 2022 House Elections

by Bradley Wascher January 10, 2024 · 10:50 AM EST

Judging candidate performance is often a subjective and imprecise game.

Sure, you can clearly tell when a diamond is a diamond or a dud is a dud, but outside of these obvious outliers, the labels “strong” and “weak” have different definitions depending on who you ask. Particularly for House races,…

Jacob Rubashkin Promoted to Deputy Editor

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2024 · 3:23 PM EST

Inside Elections is excited to announce the promotion of Jacob Rubashkin to Deputy Editor. 

Jacob has been an integral part of the team since joining Inside Elections from NBC News in early 2020 as a reporter and analyst. He will continue his thorough writing on individual races while taking on an…

Podcast Episode 13: New York 3 Special, Iowa Caucus w/ Marianne LeVine

January 5, 2024 · 9:17 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post discuss the special election to replace George Santos in New York’s 3rd District and the upcoming Republican caucuses in Iowa, with a side of movie reviews. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…

New Year, New House Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

Sometimes overshadowed by the fights for the White House and Senate, the House majority is on the line in 2024 as well. With Republicans defending a narrow majority, changes in individual races can have a considerable impact on the fight for control. 

Looking at the races individually shows…

Podcast Episode 12: Baseline, Evenly-Divided Districts, Memorable Holiday Gifts

December 21, 2023 · 11:01 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bradley Wascher discuss Inside Elections’ Baseline metric, which measures the partisan performance of every district and every state. They also dive into some of the most evenly-divided districts in the country and talk about their favorite holiday gift…

2024 House Overview: New York, New Majority?

December 15, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Erin Covey

Start spreading the news: New York is about to be the epicenter of the fight for the House, with a special election competing with the Republican presidential race for center stage early next year.

The Long Island-based 3rd District is vacant…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Alabama - Iowa

by Jacob Rubashkin December 15, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Primary March 5. Runoff April 2.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Jerry Carl, R, re-elected 84%. Trump 75%.
Court-ordered redistricting has given Alabama two congressional districts where Black voters will have the opportunity to elect a representative of their choice in 2024. Rather than…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Kansas - New York

December 15, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Filing deadline June 3. Primary Aug. 6.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 55%. Biden 51%. Oncologist Prasanth Reddy got another stamp of establishment approval when Speaker Mike Johnson included the former LabCorp executive and Air Force Reserve officer in his…