While Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) tries to work with key GOP committee members to fashion a bipartisan health care bill, Republican insiders are chewing over the results of two large mid-June surveys conducted for the Republican National Committee to find out what voters really…
The July 10, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.
The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…
The extent of Democratic losses in next year’s midterm elections will rest, in part, on the ability of Democrats elected in conservative or Republican districts over the past two cycles to survive aggressive GOP attempts to defeat them.
More than four dozen districts sent a Democrat to Congress…
After a couple cycles of frustration, Democrats finally ousted Republican Cong. Marilyn Musgrave last year. Now, they have the challenging task of keeping Colorado’s 4th District in their column.
Since her initial election in 2002, Musgrave’s reelection percentages steadily declined as she…
Republican Cong. Dave Reichert survived the Democratic wave of 2006. Two years later, he survived as well, and he out-did himself by improving his winning percentage while his party sunk further into the minority. Democrats are hoping that the third time will be the charm.
The competitive…
The next six months will be a crucial time for the White House and for both political parties.
While the nation’s economic problems have not been resolved, there is now a general sense among many, certainly in the public at large, that things have stabilized.
No, we aren’t entering a period…
Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Attorney General Lisa Madigan's (D) decision not to run for the U.S. Senate in Illinois and Cong. Mark Kirk's (R) decision to run.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans
Here are our latest House ratings, reflecting Cong. Mark Kirk's (R) decision to run for the U.S. Senate.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
It is impossible to predict what the national political environment will be next year, but a handful of battleground states are guaranteed to be a hotbed of activity.
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, California and New York have the most overlap in terms of competitive elections on the state and…
One of the growing problems with political reporting is the explosion of polls and the tendency — particularly among local TV reporters and editors, cable TV hosts and bloggers — to report all of them as if they are equally reliable and newsworthy, and to draw dramatic conclusions from small…
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