Senate News & Analysis

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 3, 2021 · 8:58 AM EDT

If redistricting hadn’t complicated the midterm elections enough, a Supreme Court decision on one of the country’s most polarizing issues has the potential to supercharge the fight for the House and Senate.

Last month, the Supreme Court announced it would hear a challenge to a new Mississippi law —…

Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

GOP Sen. Rob Portman’s surprise decision not to seek a third term in Ohio in 2022 has set off a raucous primary among Republicans, and finally pushed a long-hesitant Democrat into his first statewide race.

The Buckeye State has drifted rightward over the past decade — Democrats have won just…

Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

California Governor Recall
The race to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom is (nearly) official, after organizers turned in significantly more validated signatures than necessary to put the Democrat on the ballot this fall. While there are still some procedural hoops left to jump through, the recall — just the second…

Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run

by Jacob Rubashkin April 12, 2021 · 12:21 PM EDT

Al Gross, the independent who ran for US Senate in Alaska in 2020 with backing from state and national Democrats and broke fundraising records but lost to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan, is considering another run for the Senate in 2022.

Gross told Inside Elections that he is “certainly considering” running…

Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 12, 2021 · 9:20 AM EDT

It’s a good thing Republicans hoping to take control of the Senate next year don’t need to pick up more than one seat, because there’s a dearth of takeover options. Indeed, the Senate battleground at this point in the cycle has been smaller only once in the past 22 years.

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): No Margin for Error

April 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The country and Capitol Hill are so divided that Republicans and Democrats can’t agree on what to have for lunch on any particular day. But there’s one thing providing consensus: control of the Senate is on the line in 2022. 

Considering the Senate…

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Alabama - Georgia

April 1, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

ALABAMA. Open; Richard Shelby, R, not seeking re-election. Shelby’s retirement means the state will host its second competitive GOP Senate primary in as many cycles. Trump’s former ambassador to Slovenia, Lynda Blanchard, is running — the wealthy GOP donor committed to spending at least $5 million of her own money…

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

April 1, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

HAWAII. Brian Schatz (D) appointed Dec. 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). Though Schatz had to beat back a primary challenger in 2014, he ended 2020 with more than $3 million in the bank, and ambitious state-level Democrats are more focused on the open gubernatorial contest to succeed the term-limited…

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): North Dakota - Wisconsin

April 1, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

NORTH DAKOTA. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). Hoeven had $2.1 million in the bank on Dec. 31, Trump won the state by 34 points in November, and the senator appears to still be on the good side of the former president. That looks like a recipe for…

Missouri Senate: Open Fields

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Republican Sen. Roy Blunt announced he will not seek re-election in Missouri, setting off a scramble to replace him on the Republican side and leaving Democrats with only a marginally better takeover opportunity at this early stage of the cycle.

Blunt is the fifth Republican senator to announce he will…