Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (June 30, 2023)

June 30, 2023 · 1:26 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is hosting a fundraiser for Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego — notable because Democrats’ Senate leadership has avoided talking about this race while independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema is still undecided about seeking re-election. Battleground.

California’s 30th District. Physician Alex Balekian changed his party affiliation…

Pennsylvania Senate: GOP Searches for Key to Victory

by Erin Covey June 16, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

After fumbling away an opportunity to win a competitive U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania in 2022, Republicans have a second chance in 2024. But in many ways, unseating Democratic Sen. Bob Casey will be an even greater challenge.

Joe Biden barely won the Keystone State two years prior, and Republicans…

Report Shorts (June 16, 2023)

June 16, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

California Senate. Silicon Valley executive Lexi Reese, most recently the COO of payroll processor Gusto, launched an exploratory bid as a Democrat. While Reese has assembled a credible team and has the capacity to self-fund, it’s not clear she’ll be able to break into the top tier of candidates that…

Senate Report Shorts (June 2, 2023)

June 2, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake lost another legal challenge, questioning the validity of ballot signatures, in her loss to Democrat Katie Hobbs. Lake is making another appeal and is non-commital on running for future office. According to Time, Lake has delayed a potential Senate run until this fall,…

West Virginia Senate: Justice Served?

by Jacob Rubashkin May 19, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

Senate Democrats are on defense all over the country. But in no place are they more vulnerable than in West Virginia, where Sen. Joe Manchin is the last remaining Democratic statewide office holder in the Republican bastion.

Manchin has clung to his seat even as the the Mountaineer State has…

Texas Senate: Allred Is All In

by Erin Covey May 12, 2023 · 12:00 PM EDT

Democrats’ dreams of winning in the Lone Star State have failed to materialize for the past few decades. But with Sen. Ted Cruz up for re-election, they have a rare opportunity to seriously compete against an incumbent Republican senator in 2024.

The party landed a top recruit in Democratic Rep.…

Report Shorts (May 5, 2023)

May 5, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Maryland Senate. Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin announced he will not seek re-election, setting up a competitive Democratic primary to replace him. Rep. David Trone is running, as is Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando. Rep. Jamie Raskin says he’ll take May to decide. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is likely…

2024 Senate Overview: Three’s Company

April 21, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, and Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans have yet another good opportunity to win control of the Senate in 2024. They just need some strong candidates to do it.

Considering the favorable Senate battlefield, narrow Democratic majority, and an unpopular Democratic president in the White House, GOP…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Arizona - Maine

April 21, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Several unknown factors make it difficult to forecast Arizona’s upcoming Senate race.

The incumbent senator has yet to announce her 2024 plans. Sinema’s $2.1 million fundraising haul this past quarter provides more evidence that she’s seriously considering…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

April 21, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%), 2018 (65%). Filing deadline Jan. 19. Cardin said in January he’d announce his plans in February or March, but he’s been mum since. However, he raised just $15,000 in the first three months of 2023, a paltry sum that set off…