Senate News & Analysis

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Arizona - Maine

October 27, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. The contours of this race are finally beginning to take shape, though Sinema has yet to announce her 2024 plans. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake announced her Senate campaign in August, and is…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

October 27, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. Primary April 23.  The Democratic primary — the most important contest in this deep-blue state — is down to two major contenders after Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando dropped his bid. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

by Jacob Rubashkin October 27, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February. Primary April 23. Former hedge fund CEO and Bush administration official David McCormick has launched his long-awaited Senate campaign and quickly locked up Republican support, picking up endorsements from the NRSC and the state GOP. 

Podcast Episode 8: Senate Fundraising, House Open Seats, Bill & Ted’s Excellent Races

October 19, 2023 · 12:30 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the big takeaways from the third quarter Senate fundraising numbers, the dearth of House open seats, including Michigan’s 7th District, and how Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure is connected to two House races.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Report Shorts (Oct. 13, 2023)

October 13, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alabama Redistricting. Federal judges have decided on a new congressional map after the Republican-controlled state legislature failed to draw a map that complied with the court’s order. Democrats are poised to flip the new 2nd District, which Joe Biden would have won by 12 points. Current 2nd District GOP Rep. Barry…

Podcast Episode 7: Speaker Fight and House Majority, California, New Jersey Senate

October 5, 2023 · 1:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss how the search for a new Speaker could affect the fight for the House, how the California Senate is shaping up after the appointment of Laphonza Butler, and what’s going to happen in the New Jersey Senate race after Sen. Bob Menendez…

Report Shorts (Sept. 29, 2023)

September 29, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake plans to launch her campaign on Oct. 10. Lake, a Trump acolyte, is the clear frontrunner in the GOP primary, but her path to victory in the general election is more complicated. Rep. Ruben Gallego is the likely Democratic nominee. Independent Sen. Kyrsten…

Report Shorts (Sept. 15, 2023)

September 15, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

Montana Senate. A new group calling itself Last Best Place PAC has begun a six-figure ad campaign against GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, the former Navy SEAL and aerial firefighting CEO who is currently the only Republican in the race. Politico points out that, while the PAC’s donors won’t be…

Report Shorts (September 1, 2023)

September 1, 2023 · 10:26 AM EDT

Arizona Senate. 2022 Senate candidate Blake Masters plans to run again, according to the Wall Street Journal. He joins Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb in the GOP primary — and 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is still mulling a Senate campaign too. Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has yet to announce…

Nevada Senate: Silver State Slugfest

by Erin Covey August 18, 2023 · 2:00 PM EDT

In 2018, then-Rep. Jacky Rosen defeated Republican Sen. Dean Heller by 5 points — a landslide victory by Nevada standards that was propelled by a nationwide “Blue Wave.” 

Her 2024 re-election campaign is likely to be closer.

Republicans have struggled to win federal races in Nevada over the past decade.…