Senate News & Analysis

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls Saga, Cynthia Nixon, and Minnesota’s 8th

April 17, 2018 · 3:00 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Arkansas’ 2nd District: Congratulations to Democrat Clarke Tucker’s campaign for using the term “robocalls” in a press release even though the local media referred to them as a “push poll,” which it most likely wasn’t since push polls don’t exist.


(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Arizona 8 Special, Ryan’s Exit, and NFL Fashion

April 12, 2018 · 3:00 PM EDT

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): Welcome to the big leagues, Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, who we’re learning hasn’t treated patients since 2011 and settled a malpractice lawsuit.

Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Nathan told The Arizona Republic that “under normal conditions you…

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

April 9, 2018 · 11:15 AM EDT

Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s plans have been talked about for so long that it would have been shocking if he hadn’t announced his challenge to Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson today. Now that the Republican governor is officially in, the Sunshine State is poised to host an expensive race with…

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 9, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Florida Senate (a): GOP Gov. Rick Scott may not win the race this year, but it will be an expensive slog for Democrats and Sen. Bill Nelson, despite the confidence American Bridge projected in a memo Wednesday

Florida Senate (b): Democrats attacking Scott for being a weak vote-getter in…

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Barn Jackets, HGTV and Pop Punk Music

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 5, 2018 · 3:40 PM EDT

My inclination is to write 4,000 words about everything, so I’m trying something new by limiting myself to one line of a thought or analysis per race/existential thought. Here it goes:

Arizona’s 8th District. With EMILY’s List endorsing Democrat Hiral Tipirneni and the Republican National Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee,…

How Women Could Lose Senate Seats in the Latest Year of the Woman

by Leah Askarinam April 4, 2018 · 11:33 AM EDT

Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith’s appointment in Mississippi will bring the number of women in the U.S. Senate to 23, the largest in U.S. history. While there’s room for that number to grow in the November midterm elections, with a handful of women in both parties running in competitive seats, it’s also…

How Can the GOP Turn Out Trump Voters?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 2, 2018 · 9:26 AM EDT

In my column last week, I noted that current public opinion data and recent election results point to a likely Democratic takeover of the House in the fall.

Some argue President Donald Trump’s unpopularity is already baked into the election cake, leaving Republicans little room to maneuver. But if…

Montana Senate: GOP Hopes to Strike Gold In The Treasure State

by Leah Askarinam March 23, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

We’re told it’s better to be lucky than good, but Democrat Jon Tester might be both. The Senator from Montana was elected and re-elected with less than a majority in two good Democratic cycles against flawed opponents. But he’s also cultivated a home-grown image that will make it difficult for…

Top of the Ticket Woes Could Lead to Downballot Debacle

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 23, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s no secret that Republicans are headed for difficult midterm elections this fall, particularly in the House. It could be tough for GOP incumbents and candidates to generate enthusiasm among Donald Trump’s most loyal supporters when the President is not on the ballot. But the lack of competitive statewide races…

Why the Gun Issue Has Shifted (It’s Not What You Think)

by Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2018 · 9:07 AM EDT

The gun debate has shifted dramatically. Suddenly, it looks as if the issue will benefit Democrats in November, not Republicans.

The reason for the shift doesn’t rest primarily on the intelligence and commitment of the students of Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, although many of them have…