Archive

2012 Candidates: the Good, the Bad, the Ugly

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2012 · 9:30 AM EDT

While I interview more than a hundred candidates each election cycle, I don’t evaluate them the way the average politically interested observer does. I don’t care about their ideology or their views on issues — except to the extent that their views make it easier or harder for them to get…

Fall Elections Shape Future Rosters

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 1, 2012 · 11:00 AM EDT

Pulled muscles and back injuries are nothing compared to the devastation the fall elections could inflict on the rosters for the 2013 edition of the CQ Roll Call Congressional Baseball Game.

This year could be the final game for more than a dozen Members of Congress who face serious re-election…

Congressional Democrats’ Pennsylvania Problem

by Stuart Rothenberg June 29, 2012 · 3:48 PM EDT

As Democrats struggle to net 25 seats and win back the House majority in November, no single state reflects the party’s challenges more than Pennsylvania.

After all, Pennsylvania has gone Democratic in the past five presidential contests, and the apparent movement of the Philadelphia suburbs…

House Battleground: Four Months To Go

by Stuart Rothenberg June 29, 2012 · 12:10 AM EDT

While Democrats continue to insist that the House is “in play” in November, a dispassionate assessment of individual districts in all 50 states suggests Republicans remain solid favorites to retain control of the House in November’s elections.

The Democrats’ difficulties are magnified by…

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) Alabama-Florida

June 29, 2012 · 12:04 AM EDT

Alabama (6R, 1D)
A couple GOP primaries saw sparks but no fire, but that’s the most excitement Alabama will see this year.

Alaska (1R) August 28 primary.
Rep. Don Young (R) had $552,000 in the bank on March 31. No other candidate had more than $500. He’s a safe bet for re-election.

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) Georgia - New York

June 29, 2012 · 12:03 AM EDT

Georgia (8R, 5D – gaining 1 new seat) July 31 primary, August 21 runoff.
GA 9 (Open; new).
State Rep. Doug Collins and radio talk show host Martha Zoller are battling it out in the GOP primary for this new, safe GOP seat. Collins is expected to get establishment support and have a financial…

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) North Carolina - Wyoming

June 29, 2012 · 12:02 AM EDT

North Carolina (6R, 7D) July 17 runoff.
NC 7 (McIntyre, D).
Democrat Mike McIntyre’s district became slightly more Republican in redistricting, even though a third of the district is new territory for him. But if only one endangered Tar Heel Democrat survives, it will be McIntyre. National…

Big Legal Win for President, Big Political Win for Republicans

by Stuart Rothenberg June 28, 2012 · 12:23 PM EDT

Moments after the Supreme Court’s decision upholding the constitutionality of the health care law, observers were already assessing its political implications for the November elections.

The decision “amounts to a massive political win for the incumbent,” wrote Chris Cillizza of the Washington…

Utah Senate: Hatch Finishes Off Challenger

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2012 · 11:59 AM EDT

Orrin Hatch captured the GOP nomination, and a seventh term in the Senate, on Tuesday by defeating former state Sen. Dan Liljenquist, 67 percent to 32 percent.

Hatch nearly secured the nomination outright at the April convention, but fell just short of 60 percent of the delegates necessary.…