Candidate Conversation - Clayton Hinchman (R)

July 21, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

Candidate for Alabama’s 5th District

Interview Date: July 12, 2017

Date of Birth: Oct. 3, 1982; San Benito, Texas

Education: West Point Military Academy (2005); Georgetown Univ. (Master’s, 2010)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: While GOP Rep. Mo Brooks challenges…

A Bipartisan Health Care Bill Will Be Tougher to Pass than a Partisan One

Stuart Rothenberg July 19, 2017 · 7:18 PM EDT

The calls from Democrats and many in the media for a bipartisan health care bill are understandable. But a bipartisan plan is a very heavy lift for Congress – probably even heavier than a partisan one.

Almost everyone likes the sound of a “bipartisan approach.” It comes with connotations of…

Open Seat Gives Democrats a Takeover Opportunity in New Mexico

Nathan L. Gonzales July 17, 2017 · 8:59 AM EDT

With re-election rates often hovering above 90 percent, open seats are critical factor in Democrats’ quest for a House majority. New Mexico’s 2nd District has been an elusive target for years, as long as Rep. Steve Pearce has been on the ballot. But the Republican congressman’s decision to run for…

One Reason Why Republicans Don’t Have More Women in the Senate

Nathan L. Gonzales July 10, 2017 · 8:58 AM EDT

Women make up less than 10 percent of the Republican senators in Congress, and the GOP’s most qualified (and only top-tier) female hopeful just walked off the Senate playing field with nary a protest from Republican leaders.

Missouri Rep. Ann Wagner’s challenge to Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill…

2018 Senate Overview: The Map vs. Reality

Nathan L. Gonzales July 7, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats are just three seats away from a Senate majority, yet the fight for the House (where Democrats need to gain 24 seats) is the emerging storyline of the 2018 midterm elections. That’s because it’s all about the map.

The first step for Democrats in their best-case scenario is to re-elect…

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Alabama - Maine

July 7, 2017 · 2:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA - Luther Strange (R) appointed 2017. Special Election. GOP Gov. Robert Bentley appointed state Attorney General Luther Strange to the seat after Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions was confirmed as President Donald Trump’s attorney general. The appointment was controversial considering Strange’s…

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Maryland - Ohio

July 7, 2017 · 2:58 PM EDT

MARYLAND - Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). Unless GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34 percent and Democrat Chris Van Hollen…

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Oklahoma - Wyoming

July 7, 2017 · 2:57 PM EDT

PENNSYLVANIA - Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). With Trump’s 49-48 percent win over Clinton and Sen. Pat Toomey’s re-election in 2016, Republicans are feeling emboldened about their chances of defeating Casey next year. Now they just need a candidate. Rep. Mike Kelly looked…

Ratings Change: Illinois 12

July 7, 2017 · 2:56 PM EDT

Democrats have been trying to get St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly to run in Illinois’ 12th District for five years. He finally took the plunge this week and announced his challenge to GOP Rep. Mike Bost. 

One big question is whether Democrats missed their window of opportunity.…