Archive

Conventions: From Meaningful to Meaningless

by Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2012 · 9:33 AM EDT

Rarely a day goes by without some journalist noting that another Member of Congress is passing up the very forgettable opportunity of attending his or her party’s convention later this summer.

The list of media outlets to report on this “development” is long and getting longer: the New York…

Florida House: Turning up the Heat

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 13, 2012 · 12:57 AM EDT

It’s no surprise that Florida is one of the key states to watch in November, but the Sunshine State is playing a particularly critical role in the fight for the House.

Democrats have focused their effort to win back the majority on three states: Florida, California, and Illinois. In order to…

Ratings Change: Connecticut Senate Gets Less Safe

by Stuart Rothenberg July 13, 2012 · 12:56 AM EDT

Republican Senate nominee Linda McMahon spent $50 million in the GOP primary and general election last cycle to win just over 43 percent of the vote, so it isn’t surprising that we began with some skepticism about the businesswoman’s desire to run again this cycle.

McMahon’s 12-point loss to…

Ratings Change: Maine Senate Moves Toward Democrats, Sort of

by Stuart Rothenberg July 13, 2012 · 12:54 AM EDT

Maine’s primaries are now history, so the three-way race for Senator Olympia Snowe’s open Senate seat has finally come into focus – sort of.

Republicans hope Secretary of State Charlie Summers (R) can win a multi-candidate contest, following the model of how former Waterville mayor Paul LePage…

Nevada Senate: Game Change?

July 13, 2012 · 12:53 AM EDT

The House Ethics Committee’s decision to formally investigate Rep. Shelley Berkley (D) has the potential to shift one of the most competitive Senate races in the country toward the Republicans.

The bipartisan committee is looking into whether Berkley inappropriately used her office to support…

Campaigns to Compete for Ads During Olympic Games

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 12, 2012 · 9:35 AM EDT

There’s good news on the horizon for attention-deprived candidates: Millions of voters will soon be glued to their television screens in a normally dead time for campaign advertising.

The bad news is that it’s the Summer Olympics, and candidates and outside groups will have to spend a premium…

Wisconsin Senate Race Will Be Test of Political Mood

by Stuart Rothenberg July 11, 2012 · 10:17 AM EDT

Wisconsin has drawn plenty of attention recently, first because of the recall election of Gov. Scott Walker (R) and then because it is one of a handful of swing states in the 2012 presidential election.

But it is the Senate race for retiring Democrat Herb Kohl’s seat that could end up being the…

2012 Candidates: the Good, the Bad, the Ugly

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2012 · 9:30 AM EDT

While I interview more than a hundred candidates each election cycle, I don’t evaluate them the way the average politically interested observer does. I don’t care about their ideology or their views on issues — except to the extent that their views make it easier or harder for them to get…