Archive

8 for ‘08: Battleground States to Watch

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 3, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Only six months into the election cycle, the universe of 2008 battleground states is already beginning to take shape. But an accurate list of the battlegrounds includes more than just the presidential race and takes into account states where hot House, Senate and even…

8 for ’08: Battleground States to Watch

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Only six months into the election cycle, the universe of 2008 battleground states is already beginning to take shape. But an accurate list of the battlegrounds includes more than just the presidential race and takes into account states where hot House, Senate and even gubernatorial races also…

Will Voters Respond to a Message of Unity or of Division?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 2, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

For months, many commentators have argued that voters are sick and tired of partisanship and division. The years of Clinton-bashing by conservatives and Bush-bashing by liberals have taken a toll on the less polarized American public, and Americans are looking for a true uniter. At least that’s…

McCain’s ’08 Dilemma: Can He Recapture the Magic He Once Had?

by Stuart Rothenberg June 28, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here’s a bit of unsolicited advice for Sen. John McCain’s presidential campaign (which has plenty of smart people and doesn’t need my advice): Try to get back to McCain’s story.

It isn’t news that McCain’s campaign is staggering under the weight of weaker-than- expected fundraising and poll…

House Retirement Watch: If You Wait, They Will Come

by Stuart Rothenberg June 25, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

It seems as if every election cycle around this time I start thinking, “Where are all the retirements?” It’s mid-June, six months into the 2008 cycle, and there are only a handful of open House seats.

But is it so unusual that we now have only four House Members — Democrats Luis Gutierrez…

New Print Edition: Missouri 6 & Texas 22

June 22, 2007 · 3:12 PM EDT

The new June 22, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

DSCC Could Hit Recruiting Mother Lode

June 22, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

While Democratic strategists have not yet started to count their chickens, there is increasing evidence that two key Democrat Senate recruits are moving toward ’08 Senate races.

Former New Hampshire Gov. Jeanne Shaheen, who narrowly lost a 2002 Senate race against Republican John Sununu, has…

Handicapping Versus Reporting, Analyzing the Presidential Race

by Stuart Rothenberg June 21, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

As I’ve watched the first few months of the 2008 presidential race, I’ve been struck by how differently the race can be watched and evaluated.

Most print and television political reporters, along with their editors, are approaching the contests for the Democratic and Republican presidential…

2008 Senate Ratings

June 20, 2007 · 4:08 PM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings, including the developments in Wyoming. At this point in the cycle, we only use three broad categories. Later, we will move to our more specific categories such as Clear Advantage, Narrow Advantage, Toss-Up, etc.



VULNERABLE (3 R, 0 D)
  • Coleman (R-MN)

For Some Democrats, the Political Picture Doesn’t Look So Rosy

by Stuart Rothenberg June 18, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

MACKINAC ISLAND, Mich. — While Democratic politicians and activists around the country are upbeat about the party’s near-term political prospects, including the 2008 presidential and Congressional elections, Democrats in Michigan are increasingly concerned about their standing in the state. Some…