Polling is contradictory about who is ahead, but virtually all of it confirms a tight race. Republican state Sen. Scott Brown has benefited from a sloppy campaign by state Attorney General Martha Coakley. But even more, the Republican is benefiting from public dissatisfaction with the direction…
Former state Senator Steve Stivers (R) is continuing his challenge to freshman Cong. Mary Jo Kilroy (D) in Ohio’s 15th District after declining to switch to the race for state Auditor.
Ohio’s current state Auditor, Mary Taylor (R), recently decided to drop her bid for reelection in order to…
Republican Cong. John Shadegg (R) is retiring. First elected in 1994, he represents Arizona’s 3rd District. John McCain carried the district with 56% in 2008.
Democratic desperation and other compelling evidence strongly suggest that Democrats may well lose the late Senator Edward Kennedy’s Senate seat in Tuesday’s special election. Because of this, we are moving our rating of the race from Narrow Advantage for the Incumbent Party to Toss-Up.
…If you are wondering why reporters ask politicians the same question again and again, it’s because you never know when a political figure is going to change his mind.
That’s exactly what Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd (D) did last week when he reversed himself and announced that he would not seek…
The Senate race in Massachusetts is ending in a flurry of money and activity. With just days before the Tuesday election, public and private polls show Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) with anywhere from a solid lead to a statistically insignificant one over state Sen. Scott Brown (R). Brown’s…
New polling confirms that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) is mired near 40% in general election ballot tests against all potential opponents, even those voters know nothing about. It will be extremely difficult for him to pull out a win, as Sens. Rick Santorum (R-PA) and John Sununu (R-NH),…
In the face of a tough reelection race, Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter (D) announced he wouldn’t seek a second term. His decision probably improves Democratic chances of holding the seat, because they will be able to run a non-incumbent, but not enough to move the race in the Democrats’ direction at…
Two Democratic retirements essentially cancel each other in terms of the outlook for the Senate.
Democratic prospects got significantly worse in North Dakota with Sen. Byron Dorgan’s (D) departure. Gov. John Hoeven (R) was leading Dorgan in hypothetical match-ups and he would be a heavy…
During our quarterly overview of all of the House races across the country, we moved 21 House seats toward the Republicans. On top of that, Republicans gained Alabama’s 5th District when Cong. Parker Griffith switched to the GOP before Christmas. His seat moved from Lean Democratic to Currently…
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