House News & Analysis

Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2014 · 9:41 AM EST

For the second time, Republican Ken Buck has failed to become a United States senator from Colorado. But his most recent campaign was not in vain and helped make him the front-runner for a seat in the House.

GOP Rep. Cory Gardner’s decision last week to challenge…

Illinois Primaries: GOP Races Set Stage for November

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:58 PM EST

Illinois could host a handful of competitive congressional contests this November, but a trio of primaries on March 18 will set the stage for the general election. And while Democrats are focused on taking over governorships in some of the country’s largest states, including Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin,…

Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:57 PM EST

Colorado Senate. In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. The Denver Post broke the news on Wednesday and we immediately moved the race from Safe to Democrat Favored.

But in less than a day,…

There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

by Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2014 · 1:15 PM EST

GOP leaders on Capitol Hill apparently have already decided to punt rather than push ahead with their own immigration proposal, but that hasn’t stopped the chatter from the sidelines, especially from those who don’t like the leadership’s decision.

Liberal columnist Greg Sargent and conservative icon George…

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 25, 2014 · 10:03 AM EST

For Republicans in D.C., the Affordable Care Act is a black and white issue — you are either for it or against it. And they are all against it. But for many GOP legislators and candidates outside the Beltway, the politics of Obamacare is much more complicated.

In…

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

by Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2014 · 11:29 AM EST

You probably think the recent spat between the National Republican Senatorial Committee (and really the entire GOP establishment) and Jamestown Associates, a GOP consulting firm, is interesting because it reflects the fissure in the Republican Party. But after covering campaigns for decades, I think it’s also a fascinating story…

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2014 · 3:48 PM EST

Two more members of Congress decided this would be their final term, but their exits don’t change the battle for the majority in the House. And contrary to an all-too-common media narrative, their departures do not signal an exodus from the House of Representatives.

“Two Democrats Join…

New York 21: Have We Seen This Movie Before?

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:30 PM EST

New York’s North Country is home to one of the most famous Republican implosions in recent political history. Now the 21st District is open once again and the GOP is hoping to not replay the divisions of the past. The district is a solid takeover opportunity for Republicans, and…

Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:29 PM EST

The 2014 election cycle officially gets underway in a few weeks when voters in Texas go to the polls for the primaries.

Because of the recent string of high-profile Republican Senate primaries over the last couple of cycles, Rep. Steve Stockman’s challenge to incumbent Sen. John Cornyn received…

Report Shorts (February 14, 2013) California 31, New Jersey 1, Washington 4

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:27 PM EST

California 31. Republican Rep. Gary Miller, the most vulnerable House Republican in the country, announced his retirement on Wednesday. But the Inland Empire district was already rated Lean Democrat, so it doesn’t improve Democrats’ math to the majority at all.

The Democratic race pits former Rep. Joe Baca…