Archive

New Jersey Senate: Is Robert Andrews Crazy to Take On Frank Lautenberg?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 17, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Many years ago, as a newly minted Ph.D., I had the good fortune to spend three years teaching political science at Bucknell University. At the end of my first year, a departmental review committee evaluated my performance. The student member of that committee was Rob Andrews — now Rep. Robert…

Why Should Clinton Just Pack It In When Nothing Is Decided?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The calls for New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s exit from the Democratic presidential race have appeared from members of the national media, as well as from some within her own party. She can’t possibly win, they say.

When I asked one veteran Democratic insider in the past few days about…

Campaigns’ Olympian Challenge

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Synchronized swimming. Fencing. Table tennis. Congressional campaigns?

The Olympics are unrivaled in their ability to pull Americans from their vacations to their television screens for three weeks in the middle of August. And for attention-starved Congressional candidates, the Olympics provide…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

by Stuart Rothenberg April 10, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House seats, starting with the most likely…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

April 10, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House seats, starting with the…

New Print Edition: New Jersey 3 & New Jersey 7

April 9, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The April 7, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

Louisiana 6: Will Republicans Kick Away Another Special Election?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 7, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

George W. Bush won 59 percent of the vote in Louisiana’s 6th district in 2004. That year, the district’s Congressman, Richard Baker (R), was re-elected with more than 70 percent of the vote. Two years later, Baker won an 11th term without major party opposition.

Yet in the special election in…

Like Being on the Cover of Sports Illustrated?

April 4, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

A few months ago, former Harry Reid chief of staff Susan McCue was featured in Glamour magazine talking about how wonderful it was to be working for the ONE campaign. The only problem was that she had just announced that she was leaving ONE so that she could help her old boss, Reid, and Senate…

A Crop of House Candidates Worth Taking a Look At

by Stuart Rothenberg April 3, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

There is relatively little attention being paid to this year’s fight for the House of Representatives, since Republicans have no chance retaking the chamber in November.

Even more important, most reporters and observers are hypnotized by the fascinating presidential race, and those who care…

Would Obama Be Leading the Democratic Race if He Were White?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 27, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

When former Rep. Geraldine Ferraro (D-N.Y.) asserted that “if Obama was a white man, he would not be in this position,” she caused a mini media frenzy and was forced to step down from the Clinton campaign’s finance committee.

I found the comment slightly unsettling but not for the same reason…