Archive

Could Lieberman Hold the Senate’s Balance of Power After November?

April 26, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

As the midterms approach and substantial GOP Senate gains seem inevitable, more attention will fall on Connecticut’s soon-to-be-senior Senator, Joe Lieberman (ID). That’s because Lieberman, one of two Independents in the Senate, could become a major target of Republicans if they net nine seats in…

South Carolina 5: Challenging the Chair

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 23, 2010 · 3:00 PM EDT

South Carolina has received plenty of attention after its governor hiked the Appalachian Trail and ended up in Argentina with his girlfriend. But few people may realize that a long-time Democratic congressman could lose reelection.

John Spratt (D) has been in Congress for almost three decades,…

Arkansas Senate: One Big (Not So Happy) Family

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 23, 2010 · 3:00 PM EDT

Republicans couldn’t even get a candidate to run for the U.S. Senate against Mark Pryor (D) last cycle, but this year, a half-dozen Republicans are vying for the right to take on Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), who has a primary of her own from the lieutenant governor.

Oh what a difference two years…

Is the GOP Headed to a Revival in the Land of Enchantment?

April 22, 2010 · 10:40 AM EDT

Talk about being down and out. After last year’s elections, the New Mexico GOP looked about as energetic as a three-week-old corpse.

Democrats controlled both of the state’s Senate seats, all three of its House seats and six of the state’s seven statewide offices. The Republicans’ only…

New Mexico 1 Moved to Lean Democratic

April 22, 2010 · 10:30 AM EDT

Cong. Martin Heinrich (D) is still the favorite in the race, but as long as Republican Jon Barela raises enough money to be competitive and the current national mood is unchanged, we expect the race in New Mexico’s 1st district to go down to the wire. We’re moving the race from Democrat Favored…

Paterson’s Timing Has Been Perfect for Democrats in N.Y. Specials

April 20, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

While New York Gov. David Paterson’s (D) performance in office has been widely panned, his timing in three House special elections this cycle has been impeccable.

Rep. Eric Massa (D-N.Y.) resigned his 29th district seat more than a month ago, but Paterson still has not acknowledged the vacancy…

If Republicans Fail to Win the House, Look Behind the ‘Eight’ Ball

April 19, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

I’ve always said that the party campaign committees usually get too much credit for success and too much blame for failure, so I’m certainly not pointing fingers in this column. But if Republicans fall a handful of seats short of taking over the House in the fall midterms, it could be because of…

New House Ratings: 44 Seats Moved Toward GOP

April 16, 2010 · 12:20 AM EDT

We are still seven months until the midterm elections, so there is at least some possibility that the landscape could shift or that Democratic attacks on the GOP could keep Republican gains down to a minimum.

Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to…

Turnout in Virginia, N.J. Could Be a Big Problem for Democrats

April 13, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

We’ve all been reminded repeatedly that Democrats face problems this year because of both the normal drop in midterm turnout and the mix of voters in nonpresidential years (See my “Democrats Face Challenges in Key Districts in 2010,” June 4, 2009). But those national problems will be magnified in…

Michigan 1 Moved to Toss-Up

April 9, 2010 · 3:15 PM EDT

Michigan Cong. Bart Stupak’s (D) retirement creates another open seat opportunity for the Republicans. The 1st District is competitive, but in this political climate, Republicans may have the slight edge. Since the seat has been open for all of a few hours, it will take a few weeks for the…