Archive

Early Battlefields Emerge in the Nation’s Middle

by Stuart Rothenberg October 7, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

While the fight for the control of the House of Representatives is taking place on a battlefield that includes almost every state (Alaska and Wyoming are among the exceptions), four Congressional districts have emerged as early battlefields in the Independent Expenditures war being waged by the…

Race Fundamentals Are Telling for Vulnerables

by Stuart Rothenberg October 6, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Democrats are pushing back these days with polls and political scenarios, trying to change the national narrative and force handicappers onto the defensive.

There is a Democratic mini-surge going on, we are told, as some campaigns produce poll numbers showing they have been prematurely written…

New York 23: Hoffman Out, Race Moves to Toss-Up

October 5, 2010 · 2:26 PM EDT

Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman suspended his campaign in New York’s 23rd District, dramatically improving the Republicans’ chances of winning back a seat they lost less than a year ago.

Democrat Bill Owens won the GOP open seat in a November 2009 special election after the GOP…

NFL Asks Feingold to Remove Clip from New Ad

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2010 · 1:22 PM EDT

Wisconsin Sen. Russ Feingold's (D) new television ad chastises his opponents for dancing in the end zone, but has gotten him into trouble with the National Football League. One clip had then-Minnesota Vikings receiver Randy Moss acting like he was mooning the crowd at Lambeau Field. 

"We did…

Scenario #3: A GOP Tsunami Crashes Over Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2010 · 9:52 AM EDT

One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a reversal in the…

Scenario #2: Democrats Lose House, Cling to Senate

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2010 · 9:51 AM EDT

One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a reversal in the…

Scenario #1: Base Turns Out Late, Saves Democrats

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2010 · 9:50 AM EDT

One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a reversal in the…

2010 Senate Overview (October 1, 2010)

October 1, 2010 · 4:35 PM EDT

With recent polls showing the California race slipping away from the GOP, Republicans likely need to win two out of three competitive Senate contests -- Washington, Connecticut, and West Virginia -- to have a chance at netting ten seats and a majority in the next Senate. That’s not impossible, it…