Rating Change: Democratic Challenger Puts Utah Seat Into Play

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales October 18, 2017 · 8:20 PM EDT

It’s not hard to see Democratic takeover opportunities in districts where Hillary Clinton prevailed or Donald Trump won narrowly in 2016, but Democrats have expanded the map with at least a couple recruits who should make Republicans work to defend some deeper red territory next year. 
 
Former Kansas state Rep. Paul Davis, for example, announced his candidacy in August, giving Democrats a credible candidate in the 2nd District of Kansas, where Trump won 56-37 percent. Davis carried the district in his 2014 gubernatorial bid, and when he entered the congressional race for Lynn Jenkins’ open seat this year, we changed the rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.

On Wednesday, Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams announced his challenge to GOP Rep. Mia Love in Utah’s 4th District. A significant chunk of the district has already voted for McAdams for mayor. Plus, while Trump carried this district in 2016, he did so with just 39 percent. Clinton garnered a meager 32 percent, as third-party candidate Evan McMullin collected voters who weren’t satisfied with their options. 

We’re changing the Inside Elections rating of the race from Solid Republican to Lean Republican.

Love lost a close race to Democratic Rep. Jim Matheson in 2012 before winning a close race for the open…

Virginia Governor: The Democrats’ Must-Win Race

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales October 13, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

It was easy for Democrats to explain away special election losses in Kansas, Montana, South Carolina, and even Georgia’s 6th District, considering Donald Trump won all of those districts in 2016. But the stakes are much higher in next month’s gubernatorial race in Virginia, which Hillary Clinton…

Iowa House: Democrats Take Another Swing at 1st and 3rd Districts

Subscriber
Leah Askarinam October 13, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

The last time Democrats held the House majority, they controlled 60 percent of the congressional districts in Iowa. Today, they’re down to 25 percent, and probably need to win at least one, if not two, districts in The Hawkeye State to get back to the majority.

The 1st and 3rd districts are both…

Candidate Conversation - Hans Keirstead (D)

Subscriber
October 13, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

Candidate for California’s 48th District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: April 21, 1967; Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Education: Univ. of British Columbia (Bachelors 1994, Phd 1998) 

Political Office: None, first run for office

Current Outlook: Keirstead is a top contender against…