Senate News & Analysis

Ohio Blowout Raises Red Flag for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg November 23, 2010 · 10:06 AM EST

A little more than a year ago, I wrote a column in this space (Will the Buckeye State Swing Back to the GOP in 2010?, Oct. 22, 2009) that noted Ohio’s bellwether reputation and suggested the state could see a major effort by a rejuvenated Republican Party to…

Most Outrageous, Absurd Candidates of 2010

by Stuart Rothenberg November 19, 2010 · 3:43 PM EST

Every election cycle, a few candidates and campaigns stand out as remarkable for their absurdity, their outrageousness, their futility or their sheer gall. They need to be recognized.

No, I’m not talking about a campaign that proves to be remarkable for its weak fundraising (such as Ohio Democratic…

Democrats Lost the Faith of Religious Voters

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 18, 2010 · 10:06 AM EST

Ever since Barack Obama uttered the words “awesome God” in his 2004 convention speech, Democrats embarked on a multiyear journey to convince voters of faith. But any inroads Democrats made with religious voters over the past four years were essentially washed away in this year’s midterm elections.


Messages Sent by ’10 Voters Weren’t ‘Either-Or’

by Stuart Rothenberg November 17, 2010 · 11:21 AM EST

As Republicans, Democrats and journalists discuss the meaning of this year’s midterm elections, it’s become clear to me that many of questions they ponder present false choices that obscure the lessons of Nov. 2. Here are some of them:

Question No. 1: Were the 2010 midterms “about” jobs…

Post-2010, Face of Both Parties Is A-Changing

by Stuart Rothenberg November 10, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Elections both reflect a political party’s appeal and create a new face that ultimately recasts that image. And the midterm elections of 2010 are no exception.

For Democrats, “diversity” has been about ideology and region recently — proving to Americans that the party isn’t a bunch of liberals…

Swing Voters, GOP to Democrats: You’re Fired!

by Stuart Rothenberg November 5, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

There were many messages and lessons to be drawn from the 2010 midterm results, but the most obvious one is that Republican, conservative and swing voters fired Democrats — even Democrats they liked, and even Democrats who took care to vote as their constituents wanted.

Sure, freshmen Democratic…

As America Votes, It’s All Over but the Shouting

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2010 · 10:25 AM EDT

So what happened this election cycle? As voters across the country head to the polls today, here are a few thoughts.

• Democrats never succeeded in changing the trajectory of the election cycle that developed roughly midway through last year.

Once voters decided President Barack Obama and…

Washington Senate moved to Pure Toss-Up

November 1, 2010 · 1:50 PM EDT

The latest public polls in Washington confirm that the race between Sen. Patty Murray (D) and GOP nominee Dino Rossi is virtually even. It looked like Murray had a narrow advantage as recently as late last week but that edge appears to have evaporated. With the expected close result…

Alaska Senate moved from Safe to Republican Favored

October 31, 2010 · 2:25 PM EDT

Even after losing the GOP primary, Sen. Lisa Murkowski appears to have the advantage in the race. But if there are complications with her write-in candidacy, there is a narrow chance that Democrat Scott McAdams could win the seat.

McAdams wouldn’t have a shot in a two-way race,…

Even in Wave Elections, Some Races Break the Other Way

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 31, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Republicans who are privately hopeful that the party can beat conventional wisdom on Tuesday and net the 10 seats needed to take the Senate majority might want to talk to Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker.

The first-term Republican isn’t vulnerable; he isn’t even up for re-election for another two…