Redistricting News & Analysis

Arkansas House: Razorback Red

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 20, 2012 · 11:55 AM EDT

With control of the governorship and the Legislature, Democrats were in prime position to take back at least a couple of seats they lost in 2010 in Arkansas.

But local Democratic cartographers didn’t see eye to eye with Democratic strategists in D.C. and drew a map that could…

House Battleground Comes Into Focus

by Stuart Rothenberg April 6, 2012 · 3:00 PM EDT

While President Obama’s numbers have strengthened in some polls, the public’s mood has brightened a bit, and Democratic prospects in the Senate certainly have improved, Democrats still face a difficult task in their effort to net 25 seats and take back the House of Representatives.

Redistricting has been…

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) Alabama - Florida

April 6, 2012 · 2:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6R, 1D)
The state’s new Congressional map makes the districts of freshman Martha Roby (R) and veteran Mike Rogers (R) more Republican, so Democrats aren’t likely to threaten here in 2012. GOP Reps. Joe Bonner and Spencer Bachus survived primary challenges with relative ease.

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) Georgia - New York

April 6, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

Georgia (8R, 5D – gaining 1 new seat) July 31 primary, August 21 runoff.
GA 9 (Open; new). State Rep. Doug Collins, radio talk show host Martha Zoller and Jackson County Commissioner Hunter Bicknell are in the GOP contest for this new seat, and the winner of the…

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) North Carolina - Wyoming

April 6, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

North Carolina (6R, 7D) May 8 primary, June 26 runoff.
NC 7 (McIntyre, D). Democrat Mike McIntyre’s district became slightly more Republican in redistricting, even though a third of the district is new territory for him. But if any endangered Tar Heel Democrat survives, it’ll be McIntyre. There’s…

Maryland Primary Boosts Democratic Prospects

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 4, 2012 · 12:44 PM EDT

Only one of Roscoe Bartlett’s wishes came true last night. The 85 year-old GOP congressman won renomination in Maryland’s 6th District, but he’ll face wealthy financier John Delaney (D) in November’s general election.

Delaney defeated state Sen. Rob Garagiola, 54 percent to 29 percent, in the Democratic primary.…

Redistricting’s Bottom Line

by Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2012 · 1:58 PM EDT

Writing an analysis calculating the final result of redistricting is a little like putting a sign on your back that reads “kick me.”

No matter how methodical and dispassionate you try to be, you are forced to make plenty of subjective judgments, guaranteeing that you will be second-guessed…

Ohio Primaries: Two Incumbents Fall, But Beware of the Anti-Incumbent Hype

by Jessica Taylor March 7, 2012 · 12:54 PM EST

Republican cartographers guaranteed that one incumbent would lose in Tuesday’s primaries in Ohio when they drew two Democratic Members into the same district. But few people expected Republicans to lose one of their own.

In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur handily defeated her colleague,…

New Texas Map: Democrats Hoped for More Than Split Decision

by Jessica Taylor February 29, 2012 · 12:20 PM EST

The topsy-turvy Texas redistricting saga appears to be approaching toward a conclusion – for now. On Tuesday, a San Antonio federal court panel released a new map that is expected to be in place for the 2012 elections, but there’s still the possibility that the lines could undergo an…

Minnesota Map Nice for Status Quo

by Jessica Taylor February 21, 2012 · 4:56 PM EST

One of the remaining pieces of the redistricting puzzle was revealed Tuesday, with a Minnesota judicial panel releasing a new map that only slightly changes the state’s congressional boundaries but still leaves freshman Republican Chip Cravaack as the top target in 2012.

The new lines also put GOP…