Redistricting News & Analysis

Redistricting’s Bottom Line

by Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2012 · 1:58 PM EDT

Writing an analysis calculating the final result of redistricting is a little like putting a sign on your back that reads “kick me.”

No matter how methodical and dispassionate you try to be, you are forced to make plenty of subjective judgments, guaranteeing that you will be second-guessed…

Ohio Primaries: Two Incumbents Fall, But Beware of the Anti-Incumbent Hype

by Jessica Taylor March 7, 2012 · 12:54 PM EST

Republican cartographers guaranteed that one incumbent would lose in Tuesday’s primaries in Ohio when they drew two Democratic Members into the same district. But few people expected Republicans to lose one of their own.

In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur handily defeated her colleague,…

New Texas Map: Democrats Hoped for More Than Split Decision

by Jessica Taylor February 29, 2012 · 12:20 PM EST

The topsy-turvy Texas redistricting saga appears to be approaching toward a conclusion – for now. On Tuesday, a San Antonio federal court panel released a new map that is expected to be in place for the 2012 elections, but there’s still the possibility that the lines could undergo an…

Minnesota Map Nice for Status Quo

by Jessica Taylor February 21, 2012 · 4:56 PM EST

One of the remaining pieces of the redistricting puzzle was revealed Tuesday, with a Minnesota judicial panel releasing a new map that only slightly changes the state’s congressional boundaries but still leaves freshman Republican Chip Cravaack as the top target in 2012.

The new lines also put GOP…

Maryland 6: Let Bartlett Be Bartlett

by Jessica Taylor February 10, 2012 · 2:59 PM EST

Sharp and feisty, even at age 85, ten-term Maryland Republican Roscoe Bartlett doesn’t seem like he’d be one of Democrats’ top targets in 2012. After all, he’s been an unassuming, if not quirky, force in the House, and he’s cruised to reelection since he was first elected in 1992.

Arizona 8: Special Occasion

by Jessica Taylor February 10, 2012 · 2:57 PM EST

The upcoming Arizona special election is one that party strategists have been afraid of for more than a year, since no one wanted to vocalize even the possibility of having to fill a vacancy for Rep. Gabrielle Giffords.

As the three-term Democratic congresswoman continued her recovery following the…

Pair of Pennsylvania Primaries (12th & 18th)

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2012 · 2:56 PM EST

The suburban districts in eastern Pennsylvania may get the most attention in November, but a pair of primaries in western Pennsylvania is worth watching this April.

Needing to eliminate one district because of the Keystone State’s loss of a congressional district after reapportionment, Republican map-makers drew two Democratic…

Indiana 5 Primary: Winner Take All

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2012 · 2:55 PM EST

It has looked for a while as if long-time Rep. Dan Burton might not be coming back to Congress next year. But instead of finally losing in a GOP primary, the long-time Republican House member has decided to retire.

Burton’s decision sets up a two-month sprint in a…

In Florida: Anger, Confusion, Musical Chairs

by Stuart Rothenberg February 8, 2012 · 9:24 AM EST

There is plenty of evidence that the political discourse in this country has degenerated into the gutter. But anger, hatred, name-calling and political musical chairs all at the same time? Welcome to the soap opera that is Southeast Florida.

Last week, freshman Republican Rep. Allen West, a favorite…

Tar Heel Blues Continue For Democrats

by Jessica Taylor February 3, 2012 · 9:51 AM EST

It’s a rough time to be a North Carolina Democrat.

In the span of just a week, the party’s seen Gov. Bev Perdue choose retirement over a competitive reelection she was likely to lose, Rep. Brad Miller headed for the exits rather than face Rep. David Price in…