Archive

Louisiana Governor: Jindal Wins Re-Election

November 4, 2011 · 11:50 AM EDT

Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) won reelection to a second term by garnering 66% in the all-party primary on October 22. The result is not surprising considering the governor raised $11 million and Democrats failed to get a candidate until just before the filing deadline. In fact, Republicans swept the…

Would Cain Be Leading the Race if He Were White?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2011 · 9:00 AM EDT

Longtime readers of this column may get the feeling that they have seen this headline before.

Three and a half years ago, I wrote a column with a similar title after former Rep. Geraldine Ferraro (D-N.Y.), a supporter of presidential hopeful Hillary Rodham Clinton, asserted that Barack Obama…

So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper, Part II

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2011 · 9:49 AM EDT

In my last column, I reported on my reactions after recently interviewing five House candidates. Here are my thoughts on the other five, all Democrats, whom I saw during a day of “speed interviewing.”

Ann Kuster (New Hampshire’s 2nd district). Kuster has already emerged as one of the Democrats’…

Think You Can Be a Political Handicapper?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 28, 2011 · 11:49 AM EDT

After meeting and interviewing Missouri Republican Congressional candidate Ann Wagner on Monday, I had the opportunity the following day to interview nine Democratic House candidates in less than four hours — the political version of speed dating.

Yes, national party strategists set up the…

Stu’s Dangerous Dozen: Unsafe House Incumbents

by Stuart Rothenberg October 26, 2011 · 11:22 AM EDT

For years now, I’ve been running lists of vulnerable open seats and incumbents, so there is no reason to wait until all states have completed redistricting. Here are the most vulnerable incumbents who are currently planning on seeking re-election. One caveat: I have excluded incumbents running…

Michigan Senate: Still Cooking

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2011 · 12:00 AM EDT

Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) leads in money and leads in the polls but the Senate race in Michigan isn’t over yet. The state’s junior senator has been on the other side of the equation. A dozen years ago, GOP Sen. Spencer Abraham was in a similar position in the off-year, but Stabenow defeated him…

Obama’s Electoral College Outlook Depends on His Opponent

by Stuart Rothenberg October 21, 2011 · 11:57 PM EDT

A few weeks ago, I wrote a column in Roll Call about President Barack Obama’s Electoral College outlook, noting that “generic” projections weren’t particularly helpful because, to a considerable extent, presidential elections are about the candidates.

My initial estimate of a contest pitting…

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Defense

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 21, 2011 · 11:56 PM EDT

Democrats were demolished in Wisconsin in 2010, but defeating freshman Cong. Sean Duffy (R) is a key part of their comeback.

Last year, Republicans took over the governorship, knocked off Sen. Russ Feingold (D), took over two congressional seats, and won majorities in both chambers of the state…

Illinois 11: DisMemberment Plan

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 21, 2011 · 11:55 PM EDT

There aren’t many districts where Barack Obama got over 60% and yet Republicans believe they’ve got a legitimate shot at winning. But Cong. Judy Biggert (R) gives her party’s strategists hope that she can hold Illinois’ re-drawn 11th District.

Democrats made the most of their opportunity to…

Hawaii Senate: Lingle Makes Race More Competitive

October 21, 2011 · 11:54 PM EDT

It appears that Republicans have pulled yet another Democratic seat onto the Senate playing field. After taking nine months to decide, former Gov. Linda Lingle (R) announced she would run for the open seat in Hawaii being vacated by retiring Sen. Daniel Akaka (D).

Her candidacy means Democrats…