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2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Alabama - Illinois

October 25, 2013 · 2:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Robert Bentley (R), elected 2010 (58%). April 4 filing deadline, June 3 primary, July 15 runoff.
Former Morgan County Commissioner/state correctional officer Stacy George is challenging Bentley in the primary, but it doesn’t look like the governor has too much to worry about at this…

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Iowa - New Mexico

October 25, 2013 · 2:58 PM EDT

IOWA -- Terry Branstad (R), elected 2010 (53%); elected 1982 (53%), 1986 (52%), 1990 (61%) and 1994 (57%). March 14 filing deadline, June 3 primary.
Democrats believe Branstad is vulnerable, but this might not end being much of a race next year. State party chairman/state Rep. Tyler Olsen might…

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) New York - Wyoming

October 25, 2013 · 2:57 PM EDT

NEW YORK -- Andrew Cuomo (D), elected 2010 (63%). April 24 filing deadline, June 24 primary.
Republicans don’t even have a warm body to run against Andrew Cuomo right now. But even if they did, it probably wouldn’t matter much. The governor can start his presidential run. Currently Safe for…

New Jersey Governor: Christie Completes Next Chapter in Longer Book

October 25, 2013 · 2:56 PM EDT

By now, it’s no surprise that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is set to win a second term on November 5th. Immediately after his victory, all eyes will be on him to announce whether he’ll run for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

Christie was initially elected in 2009 with 48.5…

Virginia Governor: McAuliffe Set to Win Race to the Bottom

October 25, 2013 · 2:55 PM EDT

The race for Virginia governor between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Ken Cuccinelli has played out as we expected. It has been a very negative race between two deeply flawed nominees that someone had to win. McAuliffe is the favorite on November 5.

Democrats focused on Cuccinelli’s…

‘The Political Middle Has Disappeared’

by Stuart Rothenberg October 25, 2013 · 9:36 AM EDT

A terrific post-shutdown “after action report” by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, who is one-half of the bipartisan polling team that conducts the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, includes one slide (No. 7) that I found particularly instructive.

Titled “the political middle has…

The Most Important Election of 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg October 24, 2013 · 11:08 AM EDT

So now we know.

The single most important election in the country next year won’t take place in Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina or Alaska. And it won’t occur next November, when voters across the country pick the next Congress. It will take place in Kentucky on May 20.

While the general…

Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 23, 2013 · 9:44 AM EDT

Barack Obama received just 39 percent of the vote in Arkansas in the last presidential race, but that’s not stopping Democratic optimism in the Razorback State in 2014.

Even though next year’s midterm elections began as a referendum on the president, Democrats believe they can re-elect…

From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2013 · 9:59 AM EDT

In 2007, William Petit survived a brutal home invasion in which his wife and two daughters were killed. Last year, Amar Kaleka’s father was killed in the shooting at a Sikh temple in Wisconsin. Now, both men are seriously considering running for office.

But the road from family tragedy to…