Archive

Minnesota 8: Rumble on the Range

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 20, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

Rick Nolan was first elected to Congress in the 1970s when his beard was the most talked about hair in the race. This year it’s his Republican opponent’s long hair that is causing observers to take a second look at what could develop into a top tier House race.

Minnesota’s 8th District had been…

Virginia 10: The Party That Cried Wolf

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 20, 2014 · 3:59 PM EDT

For at least a decade, Democrats have had their eyes on Republican Frank Wolf and his 10th District in Northern Virginia. Now that the congressman is retiring, Democrats have the open-seat opportunity they have been waiting for, but it might be precisely the wrong cycle for the takeover.

The…

Report Shorts (June 20, 2014) SC Senate, Maine 2, Mississippi Senate, Virginia 7

June 20, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

South Carolina Senate. Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham won the June 10 primary with 56 percent, avoiding a potentially treacherous runoff two weeks later. None of the six challengers posed a serious threat to the senator in the initial race (the second place finisher received 16 percent), but a…

In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 19, 2014 · 3:53 PM EDT

It can feel like the 2014 congressional races have been going on forever, so when a campaign strategist talks about “Week One,” it can be confusing that Week One is still actually four months away.

Obtaining and understanding television ad buys is becoming an increasingly important part of…

Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator

by Stuart Rothenberg June 17, 2014 · 9:57 AM EDT

More than a year ago, I called Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., this cycle’s most vulnerable senator. That hasn’t changed.

The longer I do this, the more transparent I try to be about my thinking about each race. So, this column sets out my view of the Arkansas Senate race, which has been different…

Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 16, 2014 · 9:00 AM EDT

The Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016 stories are classic examples of an out-of-control media narrative that is based on little hard evidence.

But it may also end up being a lesson on why it’s best not to dismiss rampant speculation.

The rumor that the first lady could run for the Senate in…

Obama’s New Nuance on His Student Loans

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 13, 2014 · 9:53 AM EDT

President Barack Obama made a fresh case for student loan overhaul with an executive order this week, but he also relayed a much more nuanced version of his own college debt experience.

Over the last couple of years, Obama used his college debt as a compelling anecdote to connect with younger…

How and Why are Two Separate Questions in Cantor Loss

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 11, 2014 · 11:23 AM EDT

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor lost his primary in convincing fashion, but there appears to be two separate questions: How did he lose? And why was it a surprise?

One thing that everyone should be able to agree on is that Cantor’s loss was historic. According to Roll Call’s research, he is…

Senate Majority Still Hangs in the Balance

by Stuart Rothenberg June 6, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

Control of the Senate in 2014 is all about the arithmetic, and the numbers -- and history -- still favor the GOP.

Both South Dakota and West Virginia look all-but-certain to flip to the Republicans, with Montana still a very difficult lift for the Democrats.

That means the GOP needs to win at…

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Alabama - Kansas

June 6, 2014 · 3:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Jeff Sessions (R), elected 1996 (52%), 2002 (59%) and 2008 (63%). The last Democratic Senate nominee to receive even 40 percent of the vote in Alabama was Roger Bedford nearly 20 years ago. Safe Republican.

ALASKA -- Mark Begich (D), elected 2008 (48%). August 26 primary. Three…