Archive

West Virginia Senate: Manchin Moved to Safer Rating

October 21, 2011 · 11:53 PM EDT

Sen. Joe Manchin (D) remains the most popular politician in West Virginia. He’s successfully defined himself apart from President Obama and the national Democratic Party, and a majority of Republicans (not just all voters) give him a positive job rating.

Obama will lose West Virginia by a wide…

2012 Senate Ratings (October 21, 2011)

October 21, 2011 · 11:52 PM EDT

2012 House Ratings (October 21, 2011)

October 21, 2011 · 11:51 PM EDT

For Some GOPers, It’s Still Anyone but Mitt Romney

by Stuart Rothenberg October 21, 2011 · 2:13 PM EDT

For former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the GOP presidential campaign is looking like a simple matter of survival.

With a substantial chunk of the Republican Party appearing unenthusiastic about embracing him, Romney now finds himself in the position of having to “hang around” in the GOP…

Why Is There So Much Mud in South Carolina?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 19, 2011 · 12:52 PM EDT

When South Carolina state Rep. Thad Viers (R) came in for an interview recently, I wasn’t sure what to expect.

I knew that he was a successful, young officeholder who surely was one of the favorites to win in the Palmetto State’s new Congressional district. I knew that he was quite…

This Is Not Your Father’s Democratic Party

by Stuart Rothenberg October 12, 2011 · 9:30 AM EDT

For anyone old enough to remember Bucky Dent’s memorable home run in the 1978 Yankees-Red Sox playoff, the current makeup and political strategy of the Democratic Party has to seem very odd.

No, this isn’t your grandfather’s (or even your father’s) Democratic Party, and while that was an asset…

2012 House Overview (October 7, 2011)

by Stuart Rothenberg October 7, 2011 · 4:00 PM EDT

The political and economic landscape that will define the 2012 elections is starting to take shape, and the outlook doesn’t look good for President Barack Obama or his party.

The economy remains in bad shape, with voters increasingly dissatisfied with the president’s performance and with the…

Electoral Vote Advantage Goes to Mitt Romney

by Stuart Rothenberg October 7, 2011 · 10:56 AM EDT

While national public opinion polls are fun to examine, the real action for handicappers, of course, is in the Electoral College.

But “generic” electoral vote projections are only of limited value because elections are ultimately about the candidates. GOP Reps. Michele Bachmann (Minn.) and Ron…

West Virginia Election More Molehill Than Mountain

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 4, 2011 · 10:46 AM EDT

After two September special election losses, Democrats are looking for a slice of good news. But what smelled like Democratic victory in West Virginia just a week ago is now far from certain, and even a win in today's gubernatorial contest shouldn't provide much solace to Democrats nationwide.