Looking for Clues From a 2005 Special Election in Ohio

Nathan L. Gonzales March 23, 2017 · 3:27 PM EDT

Are Democrats in the early stages of their own tea party movement? It’s one of the biggest outstanding questions at this point in the cycle. But as we collectively look at the past for prologue, I don’t understand why our memories only go back eight years.

There was a time, not too long ago, when…

Senate Landscape Not as Rosy for the GOP as It Once Was

Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2017 · 9:16 AM EDT

If Hillary Clinton had won the 2016 presidential election, the GOP would now be headed to a dramatic 6-8 seat Senate gain next year, maybe even more, if history is any guide.

But with Donald Trump in the White House, Republican prospects are much less certain.

That doesn’t mean the GOP can’t or…

Off-Year Governors Races Look Challenging for GOP

Stuart Rothenberg March 14, 2017 · 10:00 AM EDT

Gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey will get plenty of attention this year, in part because of Donald Trump’s victory and the developing divisions in the two major parties.

Observers will be looking for possible signs that Trump’s “new” Republican Party is changing the political…

Wisconsin Senate: Baldwin’s Bid for Second Term

Nathan L. Gonzales March 13, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

From recalls to top-tier Senate races, Wisconsin is never too far from the spotlight. And now that Donald Trump narrowly won the state’s 10 electoral votes in 2016 and Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin is up for re-election in 2018, Wisconsin will get plenty of attention once again.

Baldwin is one of…

Illinois House: Democrats Eye Fresh Takeover Opportunities

Nathan L. Gonzales March 13, 2017 · 2:59 PM EDT

After gaining six seats in 2016, Democrats are still two dozen short of a House majority. That doesn’t mean the House majority is out of reach for Democrats, particularly in a midterm election with President Donald Trump in the Oval Office. But they’ll need to gain multiple districts in at least a…

Candidate Conversation - David Abroms (R)

March 13, 2017 · 2:58 PM EDT

Candidate for Georgia’s 6th District

Interview Date: March 8, 2017

Date of Birth: May 5, 1983; Birmingham, Ala.

Education: Univ. of Miami (2005); Univ. of Alabama at Birmingham (Master’s degree, 2007)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Abroms is battling 17 other…

House Republicans Shouldn’t Get Too Comfortable in Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales March 10, 2017 · 11:17 AM EST

Republican gerrymandering has put the House majority out of reach for Democrats, we’re told. But even though the initial playing field of competitive races is probably too small for the GOP to fall into the minority, Republicans shouldn’t get too comfortable. The playing field could expand…

Everything is Great. Just Great.

Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2017 · 9:00 AM EST

To listen to White House spokesman Sean Spicer, everything is going great.  Because of President Donald Trump, new jobs are being created, restrictive and burdensome regulations are being eliminated, and the U.S. military will get the additional money it needs to keep the country safe. There will…

Democrats Delight in Delaware Special Election

Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2017 · 9:15 AM EST

From the women’s marches to town hall protests, Democrats are starting to feel emboldened about their prospects in the midterms. A recent special election for the state Senate in Delaware only added to Democratic optimism, but the realities surrounding the race are more sobering.


Mama Bear’s Unlikely Run (and Win) for Mayor

Nathan L. Gonzales March 3, 2017 · 1:29 PM EST

As an elections analyst, it can be hard to stop thinking about politics even when I get home for the day. Sometimes, I see political themes in my kids’ books even when they aren’t political books. And a few nights ago at bedtime, one of my sons brought me “Mama for Mayor” from the famous Berenstain…