Archive

2010 House Ratings

September 23, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



Pure Toss-Up (3 R, 11 D)

  • AL 2 (Bright, D) *
  • ID 1 (Minnick, D) *
  • IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
  • MD 1 (Kratovil, D) *
  • MS 1 (Childers, D) *
  • NH…

Ohio 15: For Some Incumbents, Vulnerability Is Already a Fact of Life

by Stuart Rothenberg September 21, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

It’s just after Labor Day of the off year, but at least a dozen House incumbents who narrowly won last year already have formidable opponents for 2010. One of the most vulnerable surely is Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy (D-Ohio), a freshman who represents Union and Madison counties, as well as a part of…

Parties Watching 2009 Races for Clues

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 18, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

With the midterm elections more than a year away, all eyes are on this fall’s gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey. But instead of simply tallying wins and losses, party operatives are digging below the surface for clues as to what the political environment will be like next year.

In…

South Carolina 2: Forget Health Care and Afghanistan: Let’s All Talk About Joe Wilson

by Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The idea that South Carolina Rep. Joe Wilson (R) created a firestorm about anything is amusing. Who, other than his buddies in the House and his constituents in the Palmetto State, has ever heard of the guy?

But the 2nd district Congressman’s ill-advised, improper and inappropriate shout during…

Poll Results Daunting for Democrats in ’09 Gubernatorial Races

by Stuart Rothenberg September 14, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Given that I’ve spent the past 30 years reporting on and analyzing candidates, campaigns and elections, it should come as no surprise that I believe that campaigns matter. I’ve seen more than enough candidates who appeared headed to victory stumble their way to defeat during the post-Labor Day…

New GOP Poll Shows Changing Political Reality

by Stuart Rothenberg September 11, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

A newly released Republican survey of 1,200 likely voters conducted Aug. 25-26 by OnMessage Inc. suggests that the national political landscape has changed noticeably over the past two months, with Republicans benefiting.

The survey, which was released Thursday, shows Democrats and Republicans…

All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010

by Stuart Rothenberg September 10, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

I began this year doubtful that we’d see much excitement in the 2010 elections. I’m quickly changing my tune.

After two big elections, Democrats didn’t have many opportunities left in the House. GOP Senate retirements seemed to open the door to more Democratic gains, but with the Democrats…

Illinois 14: State Senator May Enter GOP Primary Against Hastert

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2009 · 8:59 AM EDT

It appears that attorney Ethan Hastert (R) may not have a clear path in his effort to take back his father’s former Congressional seat as state Sen. Randy Hultgren (R) is actively exploring Illinois’ 14th district race, according to local GOP sources.

Republicans are targeting Rep. Bill Foster…

New Print Edition: Illinois 14 & Pennsylvania 7

September 8, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The September 4, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage…

On ABC: Van Jones’ Resignation, School Speech Top List of Distractions for Obama

September 8, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Stu talks about the Van Jones' Resignation and Obama's school speech in light of the upcoming week on health care reform. You can watch the video on the ABC News web site, here.