Archive

An Early Look at 2012 ‘Elite Eight’ Battleground

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2011 · 8:48 AM EST

At least eight states that are likely to be among the most competitive and fiercely fought on the presidential level next year are also headed for high-profile Senate contests that could determine control of the chamber.

The list includes Florida and Virginia in the South, Ohio, Michigan,…

The Great Disappearing Act of Nancy Pelosi

by Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2011 · 10:00 AM EST

It didn’t take the communications team of the National Republican Congressional Committee very long to distribute a Roll Call article titled “Pelosi Finds Her Footing as Democrats’ Attack Dog.”

NRCC Communications Director Paul Lindsay said in the e-mail that his committee was “pleased” to see…

Nevada Senate: Open Seat Remains Lean Republican

March 7, 2011 · 2:32 PM EST

Sen. John Ensign’s (R) retirement announcement isn’t that surprising and doesn’t change our initial bottom line in Nevada since we didn’t expect him to make it out of a primary if he sought reelection.

With Cong. Dean Heller (R) as a likely candidate, Republicans are well-positioned to hold the…

Democrats Need GOP Voters to Win

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 7, 2011 · 9:54 AM EST

Vulnerable Democrats beware: The bipartisan well is about dry.

Last cycle, Democrats saw their percentage of the Republican vote drop dramatically, and that could spell trouble for incumbents relying on that vote to survive in 2012. Sen. Ben Nelson is at the top of the list.

The Nebraska…

Wisconsin: Degenerating Quickly Into the Muck

by Stuart Rothenberg March 4, 2011 · 11:15 AM EST

Forget all that talk about civility, bipartisanship and a new tone in politics. The fight over public service unions and collective bargaining that is taking place in Wisconsin has already degenerated into the muck. That’s what happens when a major political fight is taking place.

Politics is…

Hawaii Senate: Open Seat Remains Safe for Now

March 3, 2011 · 2:05 PM EST

At 86 years old, Sen. Daniel Akaka’s (D) retirement isn’t terribly surprising and his timing might be perfect for his party.

Democrats will defend Akaka’s open seat in 2012 while sharing a ballot with Hawaii’s native son, President Barack Obama. In 2008, Obama defeated John McCain 72%-27%. Even…

Tim Pawlenty’s Michele Bachmann Problem

by Stuart Rothenberg March 2, 2011 · 12:05 PM EST

In a Republican presidential race that could include the likes of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.) and Mississippi Gov. (and former Republican National Committee Chairman) Haley Barbour, Tim Pawlenty’s most troublesome potential opponent could well be a…

New York 26: Waiting for Hoffman

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 25, 2011 · 3:00 PM EST

If a shirtless photo of a married GOP congressman on Craig’s List didn’t keep Republican operatives up at night, the prospect of another special election in New York might do the trick.

Cong. Chris Lee abruptly resigned just hours after the story broke that he was sending provocative photos of…