Archive

Barack Obama’s Sad Sausage-Making Foreign Policy

by Stuart Rothenberg September 12, 2013 · 9:21 AM EDT

They say that the process of making sausage isn’t pretty, but all that matters is how it tastes. And often, that applies to politics, as well.

The political process can be messy, with bad decisions along the way, but if the outcome is popular, the process doesn’t matter at all. That’s why those…

Michigan 1: Benishek, Done That

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2013 · 2:00 PM EDT

Dr. Dan Benishek was a political newcomer swept into office in the Republican wave of 2010. Now in his second term, the GOP congressman is hoping to avoid the taint of the Beltway against a Democrat making his first run for higher office.

Benishek was re-elected last cycle in Michigan’s 1st…

Idaho 2: Primary Problems

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2013 · 1:59 PM EDT

Being an ally of the Speaker of the House is normally an asset. But these are not normal times for the Republican Party.

GOP Rep. Mike Simpson is in his eighth term representing Idaho’s 2nd District, has a prime slot on the Appropriations Committee and has been a reliable vote for his party.…

Virginia Governor: Moves from Toss-Up to Lean Democrat

by Stuart Rothenberg September 11, 2013 · 1:58 PM EDT

As the stretch run for the Virginia gubernatorial election begins, Democrat Terry McAuliffe has established himself as a narrow but clear front-runner over state Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, a Republican.

Polling generally shows the Democrat with a consistent mid-to-upper single digit lead,…

Florida’s 2nd District: When You Don’t Need to Poll

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2013 · 9:04 AM EDT

Late last week, Democrats released a poll showing Democrat Gwen Graham running neck-and-neck with GOP Rep. Steve Southerland II. They could have saved themselves a few thousand dollars because you don’t need a poll to show that Florida’s 2nd District will be competitive. But that also doesn’t…

The Biggest Mistake of Obama’s Presidency?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 10, 2013 · 10:01 AM EDT

President Barack Obama could have saved himself a lot of headaches, and potentially his presidential legacy, if he had done one thing: cultivated a relationship with Congress.

It doesn’t have anything to do with courting GOP leadership or caving to tea party conservatives. Multiple…

3 Local Races That Could Affect the Fight for the House

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 6, 2013 · 1:49 PM EDT

Local races rarely have an impact on statewide or congressional elections, but a trio of local races this year could have an effect on three competitive House districts next year.

The most immediate example is the special election for mayor of San Diego.

Republican former City Councilman Carl…

Are There Really Fewer Competitive House Districts Than Ever Before?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2013 · 9:08 PM EDT

According to conventional wisdom, there are fewer competitive House races than ever before thanks to partisan gerrymandering. But a closer look at the past 10 elections shows that the 2014 batch of races isn’t far from other non-wave cycles.

There are currently 49 House seats rated as…

Obama’s Muddled Syria Politics

by Stuart Rothenberg September 4, 2013 · 2:04 PM EDT

President Barack Obama’s jaw-dropping decision over the holiday weekend to ask Congress for authorization to strike Syria was initially seen by some as a savvy political move, because it gives him political cover and puts Republicans in the hot seat.

But if it gives the president some…